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Oil has been significantly under-performing in 2nd half of Sept. There might be some catch-up in the near future.
Reasons:
1) The breakout in oil today is pretty strong, with larger volume, see yesterday and today's volume spikes.
2) Consolidation of USO around $31-33 area has lasted for 1 month, thus the power of breakout could not be ignored.
3) Higher oil price in near future will benefit energy stocks, thus in favor of equity market.
4) Look at USO:SPY ratio, the downtrend starting Aug 2010 is broken by today's move, further indicating a catch-up play in oil.
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