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[技术分析] Look at VIX, something big coming???

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发表于 2009-7-28 06:40 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


VIX is usually a "panic" index. It pikes up when people are in panic selling mode.

Look at chart below, VIX is up BIG for 2 days. Does it indicate something big coming???
VIX.gif
发表于 2009-7-28 06:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
Normally pullback also can cause VIX up.
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-7-28 06:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
Do not expect too much from VIX up.................

So many people are waiting to buy dip!!!
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发表于 2009-7-28 06:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
Do not expect too much from VIX up.................

So many people are waiting to buy dip!!!
buctusa 发表于 2009-7-28 19:43


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 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-28 08:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
what's strange to me is, there is not much movement in market, but big move in VIX. somebody seems doing something.
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发表于 2009-7-28 10:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
ZT

"5 Day, 10 Minute charts for both the $TRIN and $VIX are showing an intraday terror, as the $TRIN is in decline with the $VIX beginning to spike and bottom out. Over the next couple of days, you need to watch where the $VIX goes in relation to the $TRIN – If the $TRIN stays flat and the $VIX keeps increasing, we’re not going down the crap shoot fast by any means. This is one of my supports for my consolidation theory. "

http://www.ibankcoin.com/peanut_ ... 9/07/28/chart-city/
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发表于 2009-7-28 10:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-7-28 11:20 PM | 显示全部楼层
Good chart.
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发表于 2009-7-28 11:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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发表于 2009-7-29 12:02 AM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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发表于 2009-7-29 11:53 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-7-29 12:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
哈哈哈
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发表于 2009-7-29 01:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
time to buy dip.  
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发表于 2009-7-29 02:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
vix up so now more room for vix to come down
that mean more room for market to go up, hahaha
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发表于 2009-7-29 05:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
VIX up for three days and ended with a tombstone while the market only edged down a little.  The market is very strong.  Given that VIX already touched the middle line of its BB with such a weak ending, I do not think it will penetrate the middle line this time and will very much likely go down again (which means the market will stay in the range or even go up for a few days).  Ultimately I think VIX has to drop below 20 to end this rally.  If VIX remains above 20, that means the market has room to go up.
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发表于 2009-7-29 05:20 PM | 显示全部楼层
From 666 to 956, a 290 point rise, 61.8% of 290 is 179.  A 179 point rise from 869 would be 1048, around 50% retracement from 1440 ((1440 - 666)/2 + 666 = 1053).  The market might first go to 1000 (around August 7 - one month from 869, two months from 956 and five months from 666)), then consolidate between 970-1000 (965-970 would be strong support), then go up to 1048.  1000-869=131. 61.8% of 131 is 80.  970+80=1050 (reaching 1050 around September 4, six months from 666, also volume around the Labor day doliday would low - perfect for a top).  Hehe, it sounds like a good plan, just not sure if MM will execute their plan like this.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-29 08:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
It's just strange, so quiet in stock market, look at Gold, Oil, US dollar, even China market, big big actions ...

Who is moving???
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