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* Reserves deplete faster than oil (in general).
* Oil/natural gas ratio: the price of oil divided by the price of natural gas is at an all-time high (or close). This ratio stands at 17 (historically it has been at about an 8 or so). Natural gas prices will go up, oil will decline, or both. Also, natural gas is not a good hedge against the declining dollar (it is for the most part a domestic commodity) and storage capacity is more limited, thus not as admired by speculators as oil. This explains in part why it lagged the spectacular performance of oil of late.
* At $4 natural gas, it is uneconomical to develop and look for new reserves.
* No OPEC competition, LNG (liquefied natural gas) imports are uneconomical at these prices.
* Politically more favorable than coal.
* After emission caps are implemented natural gas will become a cheaper alternative than politically and environmentally unfriendly coal.” |
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