XLF走完了4浪diagonal，

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 02:16 PM

进如了５浪上升。看上去可有的10-15%空间, UYG 20-30%. FAS/FAZ=? etc. 切记设好stop以防假突破!!!

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 02:34 PM

大老的FAZ逃的比较快. 不知青哇的逃光了没有

goodluck8 · 发表于 2009-4-4 02:45 PM

本帖最后由 goodluck8 于 2009-4-4 15:54 编辑

2# centurynull

GS能否成功突破MA200 和12x区域，直接关系到XLF能否突破成功破10到10.32-10.5。XLF %10-%15的上升空间现在还看不到。 XLF April MAX PAIN is 8.

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 03:08 PM

3# goodluck8
是的，就看今后几天了，假突破是可能的

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 03:11 PM

3# goodluck8
谢谢提醒!

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 03:20 PM

Bank Index

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 03:41 PM

很少发贴，只是看到老大号招买空，提醒一下青蛙，现在还是上升趋势，不要反趋势操做。

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 04:05 PM

本帖最后由 centurynull 于 2009-4-4 17:17 编辑

BKX 60min chart. John Murphy's Ascending triangle

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 04:07 PM

Please read how Ascending triangle is defined

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 04:11 PM

本帖最后由 centurynull 于 2009-4-4 17:16 编辑

Both the Elliott wave and traditional TA (ascending triangle) tell a break out is under way. Nothing is 100% sure, but don't bet on the side with smaller probability.
Trading is a game of probability
set stop no matter you bet on fading the breakout or riding the breakout

maplayer · 发表于 2009-4-4 04:47 PM

Anthony Allyn 's analysis

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 04:48 PM

In my humble opinion, don't read into too much about news such as M2M during trading. News only prevent us from doing correct decisions. News may help on deciding long term investment, but not for short term trading. Take a look the GS chart, it come out bottom 3 months earlier than broad market. it's the news we need to read

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 04:52 PM

本帖最后由 centurynull 于 2009-4-4 18:51 编辑

11# maplayer
It's very common the "E" will not touch trend line before breaking out as showing in post #9 above, which is from www.stockcharts.com's educational page
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:descending_triangle_

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 05:02 PM

本帖最后由 centurynull 于 2009-4-4 18:05 编辑

11# maplayer
Thank you very much for reply! Yes it is a possible option, it may or may not happen
Originally I wrote this post to convince new people don't do counter trend trade as in a party I heard some friends lost huge on FAZ. These patterns are telling we are still in an uptrend. To true HH, sure you can trade the "E" travel to trend line, which may or may not happen

maplayer · 发表于 2009-4-4 05:12 PM

14# centurynull

Agree, we need to trade just like waveplayer with tight stops.

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 05:18 PM

OK, I'm done with these posts. Hope it help 青蛙 on thinking from a different angle. Don't buy or sell based on others opinion.
Good luck and happy trade

JL01 · 发表于 2009-4-4 05:45 PM

Thanks a lot, centurynull!

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 05:59 PM

本帖最后由 centurynull 于 2009-4-4 19:03 编辑

2# centurynull
最不可思意的是FAZ早以突破了triangle 的下边沿，据然有老大号召青蛙买入?老大害人啊

centurynull · 发表于 2009-4-4 06:07 PM

17# JL01
Thank you!

weekendsunny · 发表于 2009-4-4 06:13 PM

不得不说一句,你在faz上面直接画图本来就是挺扯淡的事情..

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