买卖在拐点的左边怎么办？

Dahutu

在拐点的右边买和卖才比较容易设定止损点,因为有前面的拐点做参考, 买和烧在左边呢, 止损点比较难定，容易wishful thinking...一旦发现形势不对, 没有设好止损，害怕倒在黎明前不愿斩仓，看着损失扩大，到了忍无可忍时，投降，然后大盘反转，然后懊悔不已。。。如果碰到这种情形，有没有办法来改善呢？
如果你空了3月到期的ES,  大盘上涨超出你 MONEY MANAGEMENT设定的止损， 你可以买入6月到期的ES， 锁定损失，当大盘一路向上，然后回头，上升趋势破掉，抛掉多仓，剩下的空仓参照走出来的拐点作为止损。。。
人如果有一个存在损失的仓位，下面对其的操作便不能客观，即使自己买的信号有了， 也因为自己有着亏损的空仓而拒绝买入，一方面让自己的损失扩大，一方面失去本来可以抓到的机会。。。
这样做的好处是， 你可以不再考虑已经有的空仓，损失已经锁定， 如果趋势向上，你可以在其他月份到期的ES或YM 上正确操作。。。。

neutral

pair trade 的问题还是在对reversal的判断上，第一次判断错了，第二次也很难判断对。尤其是波动剧烈的。

Dahutu

2# neutral

The first time was wrong because the trader was not following the disciplines...(trying to guess the bottom and top)...This is not intended to do pair trading. It is a remedy for some mistakes committed earlier...
The second time, you sure can act after the trend is broken and set up your stop loss at the turning point...If it is a false breaking out/down, and you stopped out again. So what? you have done right the second time and that stopout is normal. your total loss would be samller than original losses. Also you freeed your mind to do other trades and can gain from doing the right thing...

leftright

thank you

neutral

2# neutral

The first time was wrong because the trader was not following the disciplines...(trying to guess the bottom and top)...This is not intended to do pair trading. It is a remedy for some  ...
Dahutu 发表于 2009-3-17 19:56

right!
enter the second one only if it is crawling up/down agaisnt you, and do not enter when it surge up/down.
thanks laoda!

hnhy

tu1990

Ding Ding Ding!

Amy999

seafood

1# Dahutu

hunter

this one is very good!

roamerroamer

ding!!!好主意！
不过我还是倾向于当机立断砍掉错误的仓位，我把错误操作当成是不属于我该赚的钱。这是我的原则。

LadyLucy

好主意！

icc

shi33

nod nod. 学习一下。

WildWolf

NumberRules

两种不同操作的风格，hedge和止损，随人，随操作物而变啊。

gidar