|
Michael Krauss, the firm’s chief technical strategist, said the S&P 500 will fall to 650 points “within days,” a 3.9 percent drop from yesterday’s close. It will then rally for two to three weeks, gaining as much as 18 percent to 765, before dropping to a range of 650 to 600 by May.
Krauss said his November prediction that the index would climb back to 1,100 by year-end “is too aggressive.” The “worst-case scenario” is a decline to 549, a level 65 percent below the October 2007 peak, Krauss said. That’s where a line drawn through the market’s 1942 and 1974 lows on a logarithmic scale intersects the current month. A weekly or monthly close below 549 “would prove us totally wrong,” he said.
FROM:http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/ne ... bM4shs&refer=us
NOTE: Krauss used EWP to make the prediction |
|