9/17 闲聊

Diffusion · 发表于 2013-9-17 11:52 AM

还是牛。1705有阻力，看看下午会不会破。

befriend · 发表于 2013-9-17 11:59 AM

Hold breath

开小差 · 发表于 2013-9-17 12:06 PM

acoust · 发表于 2013-9-17 12:26 PM

oldfox · 发表于 2013-9-17 12:28 PM

sunset6 · 发表于 2013-9-17 01:06 PM

learner2009 · 发表于 2013-9-17 01:38 PM

小牛 · 发表于 2013-9-17 01:42 PM

看看收盘能否坚持住吧

90ufo · 发表于 2013-9-17 02:12 PM

昨天跌的tech leader 股，今天都变本加厉回来了，aapl, FB, AMZN
IWM strong too, close new all-time high

learner2009 · 发表于 2013-9-17 02:34 PM

90ufo 发表于 2013-9-17 02:12 PM
昨天跌的tech leader 股，今天都变本加厉回来了，aapl, FB, AMZN
IWM strong too, close new all-time hig ...

yes, market is strong so far, but Vix going up too. kinda confused here. what's your plan now?

wsjboy · 发表于 2013-9-17 02:53 PM

My IS Index is slightly bullish, but issued a bear-watch signal
Correct or not, I don't know. But it is time to be cautious.

learner2009 · 发表于 2013-9-17 02:59 PM

wsjboy 发表于 2013-9-17 02:53 PM
My IS Index is slightly bullish, but issued a bear-watch signal
Correct or not, I don't know. But i ...

90ufo · 发表于 2013-9-17 03:52 PM

本帖最后由 90ufo 于 2013-9-17 04:56 PM 编辑

learner2009 发表于 2013-9-17 03:34 PM
yes, market is strong so far, but Vix going up too. kinda confused here. what's your plan now?

VIX is also my concern. but could be due to tomorrow morning VIX settlement.
操作上light position, bet with call and put. upside resis SPX ~1725. downside support 1675

CNBC: taper 10-15B is priced in; if no taper tmr, will raise doubt about health of economy and coming ER season.

learner2009 · 发表于 2013-9-18 02:38 AM

90ufo 发表于 2013-9-17 03:52 PM
VIX is also my concern. but could be due to tomorrow morning VIX settlement.
操作上light posi ...

90ufo · 发表于 2013-9-18 08:45 AM

learner2009 发表于 2013-9-18 03:38 AM

http://blogs.marketwatch.com/the ... l-reserve-decision/

1) A rally if expectations met: Stocks could deliver a “buy the news” rally if the Fed meets expectations, some strategists told MarketWatch. Consensus forecasts call for a $10 billion or $15 billion cut in the Fed’s $85 billion in monthly bond purchases.

2) Pop then drop if taper delayed: If the central back holds off on tapering, some strategists see stocks rallying for a few hours, then selling off since such a decision would indicate the economy can’t yet handle a reduction in stimulus measures.

“There might be a short-lived pop, but I believe once the market digests it, (stocks) would then sell off,” said Doug Coté, chief market strategist at ING U.S. Investment Management, in a recent interview.

3) Sell off on a big taper: If the taper is larger than expected, stocks would drop, said Quincy Krosby, a market strategist at Prudential Financial, in a recent interview.

But then the market would get used to this decision, she said. So stocks would stabilize after the initial reaction.

learner2009 · 发表于 2013-9-19 11:17 AM

90ufo 发表于 2013-9-18 08:45 AM
http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2013/09/17/how-stocks-may-react-to-the-federal-reserve-decisi ...

Thanks. I guess today may be the top for a while too. what do you think?

90ufo · 发表于 2013-9-19 12:18 PM

learner2009 发表于 2013-9-19 12:17 PM
Thanks. I guess today may be the top for a while too. what do you think?

bull: internal NYADV, NYHGH ok for this new high, slight neg div, but maybe just need time to catch up.
bear: daily very overbot. 1730 is major resis.
so yeah, i guess pullback 1st. but how deep i dont know.

next event: debt ceiling

learner2009 · 发表于 2013-9-19 03:11 PM

90ufo 发表于 2013-9-19 12:18 PM
bull: internal NYADV, NYHGH ok for this new high, slight neg div, but maybe just need time to catc ...

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[灌水] 9/17 闲聊

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