Forex/Futures ST for Week 3/4-3/8

MFTHT

ES
原以为会越过红线压力高开，结果今晚切在红线下低开。把上周五那个1516.25的多单小损平仓了。周末看了很多个股，发现短期趋势向下的远多于向上的，而且TLT，IEF的周线像极了反转。所以还是清了多单为妙。

MFTHT

正在学习期权，周末研究了下个股，俺瞎猜，您随便看看：
+GPS, +BWLD, +SPRD(是骗人的), +TLT
-DPM, -FSLR, -CVC, -VPRT, -TDC, -EQR, -BXP.

MFTHT

To 九天，

九天兄太高看我了。我只是一青蛙，刚刚开始学习用周线选股。上周碰巧蒙对了一些，这周恐怕要全军覆没了。多强势股同时烧弱势股，是因为判断不清大盘，所以出此下策。希望大盘涨时，弱势股涨得少些，大盘跌时，强势股跌得少些，以此能保证在方向不明时保证盈利。但是很明显，我差得还远，需要长期学习。至于option, 我是蝌蚪，只会买call 和put, 如果九天有兴趣，我们可以慢慢来。

MFTHT

OK, 大盘选择向上。设一个ES+1525的地雷，慢牛又回来了？

MFTHT

GC

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2013-3-4 02:47 PM
OK, 大盘选择向上。设一个ES+1525的地雷，慢牛又回来了？

Got any in the upswing?

greenback

AUD and GBP still fighting the bearish momentum ... here is the weekly chart ... back test of ma20 on the daily test may be a good entry point ...

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2013-3-5 03:04 PM
Got any in the upswing?

Got it.

greenback

EUR may hang at 1.30 for a while ... but there is ECB meeting on Thur ... let's see how it responds to it ...
JPY is consolidating below 95 ... big sharks still seems to be in the short, it seems ...

greenback

stocks are doing great ... ES is catching up with NKD and made new high as well.

greenback

I'm watching HG for short and CT for long ... CT may pull back from here with the two bar reversal ...

greenback

The next short candidate is ZW, it may trigger a short if breaking down the previous low ...
ZS is posed to break out the third time, usually third time is the charm ... let's keep our finger crossed ...

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2013-3-5 10:07 AM
Got it.

Are you still in ZS?

greenback

AUD wants to break out ... next S/R is 1.29 ...

greenback

So it's good to wait for a real break out ... it's a chance of reversal whenever an extreme is reached ...

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2013-3-5 03:18 PM
Are you still in ZS?

拿着ZSK3, NG, ES。ES这次要握紧了，不出LH后的卖出信号，我就一直拿着。

昨天手欠，看见GC1小时图的那个买入信号也冲进去了，在升势稳定之前，本应该抢个小反弹就出来，结果中了撩阴腿，范了贪念，现在水下了。

MFTHT

看着CT, 想骂人。趋势看对了，但操作太差，正所谓看对了趋势仍然输了银子。
通过CT, 明确了自己操作需要改进的方向。

九天

MFTHT 发表于 2013-3-5 03:14 PM
看着CT, 想骂人。趋势看对了，但操作太差，正所谓看对了趋势仍然输了银子。
通过CT, 明确了自己操作需要改 ...

看对了最重要。
最近听waterhouse说，
他的做法是分散投资,每个股票放1/100资金,各种类型都买点,赚钱才出来,正在实践中,还不知道效果怎么样

觉得可能在炒汇炒期货时需要这个方法。


"每个股票放1/100资金"?

这种方法肯定不适合我。一般就4份儿。

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2013-3-5 11:14 AM
看着CT, 想骂人。趋势看对了，但操作太差，正所谓看对了趋势仍然输了银子。
通过CT, 明确了自己操作需要改 ...

We learn from our failures ...

However, breakout is a must in trend play because safety first and profit next. Backtest is recommended, however we may lose a bunch of runaway plays when waiting for pullbacks. There is really no strategy that is perfect. If you follow Cobra in the last few years, you'll know.

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2013-3-5 11:14 AM
看着CT, 想骂人。趋势看对了，但操作太差，正所谓看对了趋势仍然输了银子。
通过CT, 明确了自己操作需要改 ...

Also, there is monthly inventory forecast from DOA on commodities, and the next on is coming up on 03/08, gotta be careful ...