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Forex/Futures ST for Week 6/10-6/14

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-12 05:57 PM | 显示全部楼层


Currencies: Here is a list of both weekly or daily charts to highlight the targets ...
AUDUSD(Daily)20130612155403.png
USDCAD(Weekly)20130612155331.png
GBPUSD(Weekly)20130612155311.png
USDJPY(Daily)20130612155222.png
EURUSD(Weekly)20130612155135.png

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发表于 2013-6-12 09:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
哇哇 日元
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-12 09:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
aimei 发表于 2013-6-12 10:01 PM
哇哇 日元

Let's see where JPY will stop ... if it breaks 92, BOJ is dead ...
USDJPY(Daily)20130612191348.png
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发表于 2013-6-13 12:17 AM | 显示全部楼层
老大 有空科普一下carry trade 好吗?
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-13 10:51 AM | 显示全部楼层
Pre-FOMC rally starts today???

Not sure, so far bulls are doing good IF SPX can close here or higher. If it fails the back test, it's a good short too.
SPX 500(Daily)20130613084647.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-13 10:52 AM | 显示全部楼层
aimei 发表于 2013-6-13 01:17 AM
老大 有空科普一下carry trade 好吗?

I can google some reading for you guys ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-13 12:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
Looks like double bottom everywhere ... Here is the list of equities ...
US Small Cap 2000(Daily)20130613102344.png
Japan 225(Daily)20130613102328.png
DAX(Daily)20130613102315.png
NQ 100(Daily)20130613102306.png
US SPX 500 Futures(Daily)20130613101919.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-13 12:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
Bonds also refuse to go further down ... except JGB, a special case.
Euro Bund(Daily)20130613102559.png
Japan Govt. Bond(Daily)20130613102526.png
US 10 YR T-Note(Daily)20130613102510.png
US 30 YR T-Bond(Daily)20130613102544.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-13 12:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
If all the indices close here, I will buy this dip that would double my long positions from 25% to 50%. The stop loss is a daily close of a new low, which would trigger the opening of a 50% positioned short fund. Will assess what to do afterwards.
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-13 12:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2013-6-13 02:04 PM 编辑

A day with both rising equity and bond simply indicates an accommodating FOMC outcome on next Tue. Let's keep our figures crossed.
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-13 01:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
This chart explains the consolidation in SPX ...
sc.png

点评

nice chart!!  发表于 2013-6-14 07:28 AM
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-13 01:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
Shit, my windows update shut down my workstation last night ... This is another setting that has to be considered for auto trading ...
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发表于 2013-6-13 04:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-6-13 10:52 AM
I can google some reading for you guys ...

hao
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-13 05:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
aimei 发表于 2013-6-13 05:26 PM
hao

1. Definition of 'Currency Carry Trade'

A strategy in which an investor sells a certain currency with a relatively low interest rate and uses the funds to purchase a different currency yielding a higher interest rate. A trader using this strategy attempts to capture the difference between the rates, which can often be substantial, depending on the amount of leverage used.

2. Investopedia explains 'Currency Carry Trade'

Here's an example of a "yen carry trade": a trader borrows 1,000 Japanese yen from a Japanese bank, converts the funds into U.S. dollars and buys a bond for the equivalent amount. Let's assume that the bond pays 4.5% and the Japanese interest rate is set at 0%. The trader stands to make a profit of 4.5% as long as the exchange rate between the countries does not change. Many professional traders use this trade because the gains can become very large when leverage is taken into consideration. If the trader in our example uses a common leverage factor of 10:1, then she can stand to make a profit of 45%.

The big risk in a carry trade is the uncertainty of exchange rates. Using the example above, if the U.S. dollar were to fall in value relative to the Japanese yen, then the trader would run the risk of losing money. Also, these transactions are generally done with a lot of leverage, so a small movement in exchange rates can result in huge losses unless the position is hedged appropriately.

3. wikipedia explanation at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carry_(investment)

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-13 05:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
Okay recap is the same as in the intraday update. We have bought the dip in the intermediate-term account with the EOD price.
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发表于 2013-6-13 06:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-6-13 05:23 PM
Okay recap is the same as in the intraday update. We have bought the dip in the intermediate-term ac ...

老大意思今天是中期底?
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-13 08:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
aimei 发表于 2013-6-13 07:47 PM
老大意思今天是中期底?

We are betting a double bottom on the daily chart ...

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发表于 2013-6-13 09:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
老大
美元 要反弹?
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发表于 2013-6-13 09:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
问carry trade
是因为最近中国回购利率高的奇怪

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发表于 2013-6-13 10:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-6-13 01:23 PM
Shit, my windows update shut down my workstation last night ... This is another setting that has to  ...

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