Forex/Futures ST for Week 5/06-5/10

greenback

Metals are consolidating. Copper is still good, in backtesting of S/R.

hahaa

greenback 发表于 2013-5-9 04:34 PM
你们都比较猛。。。我是等回调再买。

看似生猛，实际上这单比较投机取巧，止损位近在眼前，输了损失也不大。更何况AAPL还没有走出跌势，确立涨势：没有上破下降通道，也没有一个HH， 前面却有LL。
以前一直不敢做这种“逆势”单，昨天第一次尝试，当然还是papertrading. 嘿嘿

greenback

Here is the update of the portfolio. Basically Japan saved the day.

greenback

hahaa 发表于 2013-5-9 04:49 PM
看似生猛，实际上这单比较投机取巧，止损位近在眼前，输了损失也不大。更何况AAPL还没有走出跌势，确立 ...

Yeah, the nice thing about betting reversal is the small stop loss that can be used.

hahaa

greenback 发表于 2013-5-9 05:46 PM
Yeah, the nice thing about betting reversal is the small stop loss that can be used.

greenback

Finally Japanese are going aboard with their money ...

hahaa

ES

greenback

So indeed Japanese are dumping JGB and fleeing JPY ...

greenback

hahaa 发表于 2013-5-9 09:35 PM
ES

Thinking of shorting ES again?

greenback

Here is the ICI fund flow for the last week. Looks like retailers are getting bearish on equity again ...

greenback

JPY broke out last night decisively! Combined with the data overnight in post 66 and yesterday's abnormal bond and equity behavior, it's apparent that Japanese investors are loading up US T-Bills (apparently in USD). Note also that PIMCO is also loading up T-Bills as Bill Gross have been saying to ride the Japanese fund flow (see http://www.businessinsider.com/b ... s-treasuries-2013-5), so we have started a short position in 6J to ride this new wave of weakening JPY along with the existing long in NKD.

hahaa

greenback 发表于 2013-5-9 11:39 PM
Thinking of shorting ES again?

DT, 等下午看看再说，这段时间的高点都出在下午。昨天上午做空吃亏了，总结原因，觉得是时间可能不对头。
ST, 等着第一次碰到下面那些支撑线后，摆地铺。
DX如果这里上去，回测站稳后，看图可能到86左右，其他期货会怎么动？周末好好研究一下。

greenback

The failed backtest of bonds is leading to a cross-the-board crash today! Poor retailers, see my post 70 on ICI mutual fund money flow ...

greenback

Maybe USD will take a breath soon. We are at the previous top ...

greenback

I still think this slide is due to the pop in USD ...

hahaa

刚才差点儿没忍住，到现在为止走势与昨天相同，牛牛再坚持一下，到2点左右如果不出新高就掉下来，我就开烧。牛牛加油，我干活去了。

greenback

hahaa 发表于 2013-5-10 10:21 AM
刚才差点儿没忍住，到现在为止走势与昨天相同，牛牛再坚持一下，到2点左右如果不出新高就掉下来，我就开烧。 ...

greenback

If you want to chase the slide in bonds, you should get in ASAP ... it has started!

greenback

hahaa 发表于 2013-5-10 10:21 AM
刚才差点儿没忍住，到现在为止走势与昨天相同，牛牛再坚持一下，到2点左右如果不出新高就掉下来，我就开烧。 ...

So it's good to hold it for a while ... maybe shorting bonds is better. See my previous post.

hahaa

greenback 发表于 2013-5-10 12:46 PM
So it's good to hold it for a while ... maybe shorting bonds is better. See my previous post.

ZB这次摔得太突然，5月2日的high还没有测试直接就稀里哗啦了。没有赶上。昨天晚上又烧了6E，加上浪的DX, 已经心惊肉跳了。ZB我等他再掉掉弹弹再说。

绿老大手里还有NQ吗？