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4/22 闲聊

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发表于 2013-4-22 02:31 PM | 显示全部楼层


I remember diffusion said 1575 short de.

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发表于 2013-4-22 02:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
Jennyahwu 发表于 2013-4-22 02:31 PM
I remember diffusion said 1575 short de.

话不能乱说,我可没这么说过,我只说过1575是下一个阻力。

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发表于 2013-4-22 02:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diffusion 发表于 2013-4-22 02:34 PM
话不能乱说,我可没这么说过,我只说过1575是下一个阻力。

军师是很狡猾的。
这么一个强劲的反弹,他会观风的。呵呵


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发表于 2013-4-22 02:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diffusion 发表于 2013-4-22 02:34 PM
话不能乱说,我可没这么说过,我只说过1575是下一个阻力。

纳斯达克的3271那,好像是过不去

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发表于 2013-4-22 02:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
hellofriend 发表于 2013-4-22 02:36 PM
军师是很狡猾的。
这么一个强劲的反弹,他会观风的。呵呵

炒股就是持续不断的观风啊,买定离手 = 刻舟求剑啊。

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发表于 2013-4-22 02:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
拐点 发表于 2013-4-22 02:38 PM
纳斯达克的3271那,好像是过不去

en, 差不多和$SPX 1575一个level。。。

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发表于 2013-4-22 02:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diffusion 发表于 2013-4-22 02:41 PM
en, 差不多和$SPX 1575一个level。。。

军师,你怎摸看地产股? Len is rebounce? by the way? if you don't DT, at least hold 3-5 days 吧

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我不看个股已经很久了。。。  发表于 2013-4-22 02:51 PM
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发表于 2013-4-22 02:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
chickencoop 发表于 2013-4-22 03:09 PM
intraday market breadth has recovered nicely. The only thing that bothers me at this mom ...

finally got a +1000 tick --- I assume it's safe to buy intraday dips now

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发表于 2013-4-22 02:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
chickencoop 发表于 2013-4-22 02:47 PM
finally got a +1000 tick --- I assume it's safe to buy intraday dips now

这个看法很新颖,一般+/-1000是用来做反向指标的。。。学习学习。

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发表于 2013-4-22 02:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diffusion 发表于 2013-4-22 03:51 PM
这个看法很新颖,一般+/-1000是用来做反向指标的。。。学习学习。

it works both ways. shorts sell pullbacks and longs buy re-tests...

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学习了。。。  发表于 2013-4-22 02:56 PM

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发表于 2013-4-22 03:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diffusion 发表于 2013-4-22 01:51 PM
这个看法很新颖,一般+/-1000是用来做反向指标的。。。学习学习。

现在是在阻力线下,是吧。

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en, 阻力在1575,还没碰到。  发表于 2013-4-22 03:05 PM
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发表于 2013-4-22 03:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diffusion 发表于 2013-4-22 02:41 PM
炒股就是持续不断的观风啊,买定离手 = 刻舟求剑啊。

还有拉风,观风和拉风就像我和匪儿一样,不离彼此

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嘻嘻。。  发表于 2013-4-22 10:48 PM

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发表于 2013-4-22 03:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
chickencoop 发表于 2013-4-22 02:53 PM
it works both ways. shorts sell pullbacks and longs buy re-tests...

这个能不能说详细点,筒子不懂
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发表于 2013-4-22 03:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 chickencoop 于 2013-4-22 04:08 PM 编辑
amberlight 发表于 2013-4-22 04:02 PM
这个能不能说详细点,筒子不懂
--copied from an article on Seekingalpha

Leading indicators are few and far between for traders looking to gain an edge in the e-mini markets. Retail traders spend the majority of their time focusing on lagging indicators such as MACDs or Bollinger Bands. These indicators do more harm than good for the uneducated trader. Professional traders know that in order to get an edge in the market they need to use the NYSE TICK chart to get a read on future market sentiment.

Futures market professionals know that to take advantage of short-term over bought and oversold value areas they must constantly monitor the TICK chart. The math behind the chart itself is quite simple. It plots the up ticking vs. down ticking stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange. The majority of professionals watch the tick on a low time frame chart in order to see quick swings in the readings.



The most basic technique for using the TICK chart in trading is to fade the extremes. What that means is that when the TICK chart reaches an extreme (+/- 1000 reading) the market has attained a level of bias that it cannot possibly hold on to. Common sense would tell you that if the market can't maintain that sort of buy or sell pressure then surely a reversal is need to correct the short-term inefficiency. Sure enough this system is very useful for picking lows and highs for the day.



Contracts traded by computer programs inside the e-mini markets account for a large percentage of total volume on any given day. These programs are heavily dependent on TICK chart readings to establish daily ranges. An extreme TICK reading is a signal to program that they need to exit their position and take profits on the move as price is going to briefly correct. Having this knowledge a smart retail trader can beat the programs to the punch by watching the TICK and establishing ranges and trend lines on the chart itself. As the TICK trends lower you can anticipate a reversal in the opposite direction before it actually registers in price.



Armed with that knowledge traders are able to spot where price is likely to bounce off of, at least initially, before continuing or reversing on a larger time frame. If traders know when to anticipate a bounce they can use that knowledge to get in before the computer programs.

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发表于 2013-4-22 03:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
开小差 发表于 2013-4-22 03:02 PM
还有拉风,观风和拉风就像我和匪儿一样,不离彼此

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呵呵  发表于 2013-4-22 03:13 PM
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发表于 2013-4-22 03:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
Because the market has established a bias (based on extreme tick readings), it adds credibility to the later re-tests of these extremes. That's my interpretation of tick extremes "working both ways".

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发表于 2013-4-22 03:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diffusion 发表于 2013-4-22 02:06 PM

“阻力在1575,还没碰到”。可以画画吗? 我看的是日线从11 月底点的趋势线,现在回测,阻力大概是 1565.
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发表于 2013-4-22 03:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
chickencoop 发表于 2013-4-22 03:08 PM
Because the market has established a bias (based on extreme tick readings), it adds credibility to t ...

螳螂捕蝉,黄雀在后。
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发表于 2013-4-22 03:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
谢谢,谢谢
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发表于 2013-4-22 03:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
lilitulip 发表于 2013-4-22 03:10 PM
“阻力在1575,还没碰到”。可以画画吗? 我看的是日线从11 月底点的趋势线,现在回测,阻力大概是 1565.

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