熊眼看房市 2010

blueocean

U.S. Census Bureau data: Median and Average Sales Prices of New Homes Sold in United States

nctree

U.S. housing market's future is very doomed, considering the baby-boomers'.

CoolMax

And they may keep it faked forever...
Diffusion 发表于 2010-4-13 05:10 PM

No way, some body must pay the price, may be our son and daughter and their son and daughter and forever...

CoolMax

FED scared to death on bond rate hiking which will push the mortgage rate higher.

xiaoxin@ca

请看这个condo，可以买来投资吗？
       
        特征：
1。 6年新
2。 本市最好的学区 (elementary, middle, and  ...
xiaoxin@ca 发表于 2010-4-13 17:07

    如果真有这种房那真是白给钱

CoolMax

U.S. Census Bureau data:
Median and Average Sales Prices of New Homes Sold in United States
blueocean 发表于 2010-4-13 05:10 PM

median house price is misleading term, it is nothing.

If you sell less lower priced house in certain period of time, does it mean housing price goes up?
Hell no!

癸癸淼

咋我这里房价涨得疯掉。房价租金都开始翻第2翻了。而且多数房子都几十年了。

CoolMax

咋我这里房价涨得疯掉。房价租金都开始翻第2翻了。而且多数房子都几十年了。
癸癸淼 发表于 2010-4-13 05:18 PM

卖掉，到便宜的地方买豪宅去。

新低手

too bearish.... down 30% .... war is coming.... no kidding ...

Diffusion

FED scared to death on bond rate hiking which will push the mortgage rate higher.
CoolMax 发表于 2010-4-13 17:12

    Ben ever admitted that the end of the MBS purchasing program will impact the market and we have to accept it. I think Ben and Tim care more about Treasuries yield than mortgage rate.

CoolMax

too bearish.... down 30% .... war is coming.... no kidding ...
新低手 发表于 2010-4-13 05:20 PM

30% may be too bearish, but 10% down is easy.

这个帖子的重点在于Short Sale对房价的影响。至于结论，你要自己得出。

CoolMax

Ben ever admitted that the end of the MBS purchasing program will impact the market and we ...
Diffusion 发表于 2010-4-13 05:21 PM

Any diffrence? mortgage rate tracks 10 year bond rate.

xixi

how do you think about URE?

AGA7d

Remember the sales last year were skewed by the gov. rebate, low rate and the Fed MBS purchase.

A very useful site for the housing price and inventory is:
http://www.housingtracker.net

The mortgage rate is already higher by .5% from the low. With the 9+% unemployment, I think the price will start to slide again with all the Fed support gone.

Diffusion

30% may be too bearish, but 10% down is easy.
CoolMax 发表于 2010-4-13 17:21

    Those views are all from the buyers side, since rate increase, so price has to drop, since there is no 8K credit, so price has to drop. Think about if you are a seller, what you'll do? Sellers won't want to compensate buyers simply because government and Fed stops to compensate them.

Diffusion

Any diffrence? mortgage rate tracks 10 year bond rate.
CoolMax 发表于 2010-4-13 17:22

    Fed's MBS purchasing program makes 100 bps difference.

CoolMax

Those views are all from the buyers side, since rate increase, so price has to drop, since ...
Diffusion 发表于 2010-4-13 05:25 PM

Only depends if the buyer willing to pay the price seller ask for.

If not such a stupid buyer in the market, what seller can do.
Lower the price. right? seller has to lower the price to fair market price, not the price seller wishes.

CoolMax

I just provide some information here.
I have no intention to educate any people here. you want to understand the housing market, you need to do your own homework.

I studied US housing market closely for more than 10 years. don't try to educate me please.

Diffusion

Only depends if the buyer willing to pay the price seller ask for.

If not such a buyer, want  ...
CoolMax 发表于 2010-4-13 17:27

    Some mortgage banker ever told me that all the sellers in today's market are financially screwed up. Otherwise they won't sell.

draguide

I agree. But housing price is supported by building cost.
Diffusion 发表于 2010-4-13 16:27

    really？Check what I have found. Can u build a single house for $99?