Why always get trapped

leftright

RedCedar

1# meow


Nice, Agree!

option88

II think that the problem many of us still have is in attempting to make sense of the market in terms of the economy. This is not wise. The stock market has absolutely nothing to do with the economy.M ...
meow 发表于 2009-11-11 18:08

GE is nothing. forget GE.

bobcat

II think that the problem many of us still have is in attempting to make sense of the market in terms of the economy. This is not wise. The stock market has absolutely nothing to do with the economy.M ...
meow 发表于 2009-11-11 18:08

股市与经济之间的关联是存在的

abaqus

II think that the problem many of us still have is in attempting to make sense of the market in terms of the economy. This is not wise. The stock market has absolutely nothing to do with the economy.M ...
meow 发表于 2009-11-11 18:08

The problem is that we don't understand how to do FA.  Each time only 25% or less of these top FA (40 to 45 in the States) can give a good call on market. It will take 20-years for average people to fully understand FA. However, a good TA requires much less time, 3 to 5-years.  

Trade what you see (TA), not what you think (FA).

Remember nobody is smart than market.

mab

Why MM picked March to launch the rally? why theydidn't see the future in February? earning also nothing to do with FA,why ER always beat by 1c?
from my experience,never trade stock market by foll ...
meow 发表于 2009-11-11 19:18

I totally agree with this.
why the unemployment rate hit over 10%, stock market still rally? MM can always find an explanation for a rally or crash!

coexist

Got it

stonehorse

Thanks

whzdf

bobcat

The problem is that we don't understand how to do FA.  Each time only 25% or less of these top FA (40 to 45 in the States) can give a good call on market. It will take 20-years for average people  ...
abaqus 发表于 2009-11-12 00:25

you are right. Most wall street people have zero understanding of FA, and maybe 5% understanding of TA.

hifive

Agree

bobcat

you are right. Most wall street people have zero understanding of FA, and maybe 5% understanding of TA.
bobcat 发表于 2009-11-12 10:22

For example, many people believe that high deficit is bad for stock market. But Ken Fisher showed
by statistics that high deficit is good for stock market.

Another typical misunderstanding is that high unemployment implies bad stock market.

One must be skeptical to any common sense and do his own study to understand FA.

ranchgirl

I think that the problem many of us still have is in attempting to make sense of the market in terms of the economy. This is not wise. The stock market has absolutely nothing to do with the economy.Market runs by MM,MM runs by GS,GE.JPM. get it?
meow 发表于 2009-11-11 18:08

No, I disagree.

MM are very powerful, but finally, the economy and market have their own rules

ranchgirl

Why we do TA, actually, it tells market has its own rules
Why we do FA, it tells economy has its own rules

Unfortunately, MM do a lot of damage on them