劝一句仍在熊营的熊弟们。。。

waveplayer

1# waveplayer

Still need to set Alert high.

seabiscuit

开小差

thx, ding

maldini

ding

dara

WP, I am not against you.

But I think it is a little dangerous to ask ppl to long from here, especially buy with heavy position.  

Not every stock is a buy here, even long term.

新低手

挑选好个股，注意分散投资，分批建仓，且务必设好止损...YMYD

waveplayer

WP, I am not against you.

But I think it is a little dangerous to ask ppl to long from here, especially buy with heavy position.  

Not every stock is a buy here, even long term.
dara 发表于 2009-8-3 18:53

The main  purpose of this post is asking  PPL  don't Short the market.   If you short the market at  front of strong market, you are wrong.

Ｒisk control and  capital control are  essential skill for investment.  Not only for now, but all the time as long as you have position.

You are right,  at this level,  the investment risk is increasing,  and we should set Alert level high.
Don't  take me wrong,  I never ask PPL to invest with heavy position at this level.
There are still some opportunities even at current level.  The over extended market does not mean it can not go up.

If  SPX  next target is  1121, or even 1200 as many PPL  estimate,    It still has long way to go.  And there is still a good opportunity for individual stocks.
Of  course, there will be some pull back and correction  along the way,  but middle term trend up does not change.  We  should not pre-define tops. Let market tell us when it comes.

waveplayer

1# waveplayer

To be clear,  I  do not ask anyone to buy every stock now.  This post is just a friendly reminding that we should not short the market when the market momentum is strong.
There is no evidence so far that  the market will turn around.   Even it is overbought,  the overbought condition could last for long time in a strong market.

I was not just turn to bullish.  I have been  bullish since middle of may, adjust position for bearish since June 15, and adjust back since middle of July.
I did not recommend to buy any stock publicly. (Only in the group. I recommend to buy stocks not just today, but a few weeks back. )

What we try to avoid is  extreme bias,  one way or the other.

Make your own decision,  do your own home work,  when you are in the market,  control the risk is the No. 1 job for trading.

nobodyvest

28# waveplayer

嘿嘿，就怕每次反应过来都慢一步，每次都错。

踏空要比做反了要好多了。

此所谓“木鸡”功！

waveplayer

28# waveplayer

嘿嘿，就怕每次反应过来都慢一步，每次都错。

踏空要比做反了要好多了。

此所谓“木鸡”功！
nobodyvest 发表于 2009-8-3 19:48

The market fools most of people  most of time.  This is the nature of the market.  没什么好抱怨的。

当你以为找到了市场赢利的钥匙，市场却换了锁。  这就是为什么需要 Risk control.  操作比预测更重要。

预测是有前提的，不是瞎猜。但需要市场的证实。  对各种情况有准备，也没什么可怕了。

大胆假设，小心求证。

waveplayer

1# waveplayer

只是提个醒。 人们应该把更多关注市场本身，而不是 Media,  或者那位专家说过什么。 对有经验的 Trader, 更希望直接倾听市场的声音，而不需要在市场和他之间有第三者。

这里并不反对听别人的意见，很多专家有很强的洞察力，可以看到别人忽略的东西，值得学习。 而是在这之前，先要自己看原始的资料，自己分析一下，有自己的独立见解。
而不是直接从别人那里拿来。

Jesse Livermore 的这个段话十分精彩，因此，和大家分享。 至于市场的看法，仁者见仁，智者见智。

absmit

ksd9235

thanks

dfw

Thanks

tonyshen

:lol :lol

妞妞

谢谢! 市场就是"老大"

QQQ

haha, WP, , ok let's see.

vinceyin

tks!

stringzero

hehe, make sense.

palm