1，40的时候又PUT 点 EUR/USD

gardener2000

20# 金瓶梅

EUR is down again. Recently it is highly correlated to US market.

金瓶梅

20# 金瓶梅

EUR is down again. Recently it is highly correlated to US market.
gardener2000 发表于 2009-7-10 03:07

trap the bulls, then the bears! after there is no determined bulls and bears, then the direction is ahead!

About the battle yesterday, let us assume it to be a European and American war,
like it always be, after the Europeans closed their market, there was often enormous actions, primarily  to break down the European fort and turned the battle into their advantaged situation maybe only in a daily battle . I am not a daily trader, haven't that much time, interest, or even capability  to study which direction favorite to Americans.

gardener2000

22# 金瓶梅
Interesting analogy! It was more like news driven. Yesterday was Bank of England's QE exit policy. Today is IMF's aid to east european countries and Deutch's bank issue. With US market is heading for summer correction, It is in favor of USD for short term.

金瓶梅

22# 金瓶梅
Interesting analogy! It was more like news driven. Yesterday was Bank of England's QE exit policy. Today is IMF's aid to east european countries and Deutch's bank issue. With US market i ...
gardener2000 发表于 2009-7-10 06:25

I doubt a bit whether the market yesterday was driven by Bank of England's release rather
than any speculations or manipulations.

The Bank of England announced the 0,5 percentage interest rate unchanged and kept
the current QE program, which means they did voted against
the massive increase purchase of the Government debts endorsed by the Treasury,
In my understanding it should have disappointed the expedition by not increasing
25bn QE  to 150bn Pounds. But the market went to the opposite
direction, as they interpreted it as a cheering up because the Bank of England didn't
tight their belt. Isn't it a bit ridiculous? Anyway i cannot understand the
the hike on non-dollar  last afternoon.

southware

美元是清算货币，可以无限制发行，欧元不是的，每年的发钞量是固定的，所以欧元跌了还会涨回来的。

金瓶梅

金融危机不过， 非美就好不了

southware

美元在金融危机中有避险功能

gardener2000

Eur has strong resistence at 1.40, although DOW is up 183 today. It did not follow much today.  What do you think, Jin lao da?

金瓶梅

I suspect the whole market is waiting the ER and will get out of the triangle soon but no clue up or down.

I'v closed the half at 1,3930 today. Still kept the half to bet it down as i do think it may cause tremendous problem if it were up too much

金瓶梅

dumped the rest at 1,396, the current  market is too tricky to be commented

guelder_rose

金老大认为欧元要继续涨了？

金瓶梅

金老大认为欧元要继续涨了？
guelder_rose 发表于 2009-7-14 08:55

I have no idea at all at moment .

It may hike for the last round.
The institution tried to push the asian market up today despite the average price is unter their price for short yesterday. Did they do it for lossing money rather than any other intension. The yesterday MM's behavor and volume in US market is unlikely for one day.

Anyway i am a little bit profited from put EUR/USD  this round and the circuments is much worse than when i stocked. i don't prefer to risk the uncertainty.

southware

很认同金老大的做法，看不懂就不做

gardener2000

I might be biased. I see serious pressure on EUR and CRUDE oil. It will be hard for them to rally in short term

金瓶梅

My concern is the US index. the current institutional intention is not graspable. If the stock were up, i am quite doubt whether the oil or non-us will keep their current value
level. For me it's not others than a gambling.

Maybe i could observe it apparently, properly and roundly outside.

Hopefully

guelder_rose

金老大，为什么欧元今天跌了不少呢？

金瓶梅

金老大，为什么欧元今天跌了不少呢？
guelder_rose 发表于 2009-7-14 16:04

Who knows? 现在太像 gambling.  反正不上就下

回想礼拜一开会就说德国这个季度盈利历史最好的， 我以为是个例. 所有大客户T-Com,  O2, ALLIANZ 都prolonged contract， 小客户也盈利.  现在看来有迹可查
德国不知道什么时候出ER， 不赌好也别赌坏, watch out!

southware

现在要小心，现在我要修正对继续下跌的看法。

金瓶梅

EUR/USD 突破了。  

一身冷汗