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Forex/Futures ST for Week 4/29-5/03

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-29 03:09 PM | 显示全部楼层


Something happened ... could this be due to this news?

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The U.S. Treasury expects to pay off $35 billion of debt in the third fiscal quarter, compared to an earlier projection, given in February, that it would have to borrow $103 billion, the government said Monday. This will be the first quarter that Treasury has paid off debt since April - June 2007. In a statement, Treasury said the changed projection related to higher receipts and lower outlays. For the fourth fiscal quarter, which begins in July, the government expects to borrow $223 billion. This assumes quarter-end cash balances of $75 billion on June 30 and $80 billion on September 30.
US SPX 500 Futures(15 Minutes)20130429121059.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-29 03:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
US 30yr is reversing ... US 10yr never went down that much ...
US 30 YR T-Bond(15 Minutes)20130429121232.png
US 10 YR T-Note(15 Minutes)20130429121250.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-29 03:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
传说中的的二腿。。。
SPX 500(15 Minutes)20130429121442.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-29 05:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
Okay, here is a recap of today's daily charts ...

Seems that only central bankers can stop the bulls ... let's see. Russell is weaker than SPX, apparently.
We are still in the NKD long.
US Small Cap 2000(Daily)20130429140003.png
Japan 225(Daily)20130429135907.png
DAX(Daily)20130429135851.png
US SPX 500 Futures(Daily)20130429135817.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-29 05:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
Bonds are still okay except US 30yr is being rejected.
Japan Govt. Bond(Daily)20130429140353.png
Euro Bund(Daily)20130429140328.png
US 10 YR T-Note(Daily)20130429140309.png
US 30 YR T-Bond(Daily)20130429140253.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-29 05:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2013-4-29 01:06 PM 编辑

Maybe USD is weakening too much today ... expect it rebound ... JPY continuing its strength ... EURO shows that the rate cut is not a big deal, IF ANY.
We are still in the 6J long.
AUDUSD(Daily)20130429140654.png
GBPUSD(Daily)20130429140624.png
USDJPY(Daily)20130429140544.png
EURUSD(Daily)20130429140457.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-29 05:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
GOLD is doing good, over ma20 and is consolidating below a s/r. copper is giving it another try.
Copper(Daily)20130429141024.png
Gold(Daily)20130429141005.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-29 05:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
CRUDE is moving fast and NG is doing nicely after the back test of ma20.
Natural Gas(Daily)20130429141153.png
Crude Oil(Daily)20130429141143.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-29 05:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
OJ and cocoa is doing some sort of top ... staying outside would be nice for now.
US Cocoa(Daily)20130429141354.png
Orange Juice(Daily)20130429141319.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-29 05:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
Don't know what happened to corn and soy ...
US Soybeans(Daily)20130429141620.png
US Corn(Daily)20130429141541.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-29 05:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
Cotton and wheat are forming bottom ...
US Wheat(Daily)20130429141735.png
US Cotton No.2(Daily)20130429141601.png

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发表于 2013-4-29 06:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-29 07:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
Here is today's update of the portfolio:

Looks like investors are chasing yield again, as shown by this week's gain in PONDX.

屏幕快照 2013-04-29 4.28.55 PM.png
屏幕快照 2013-04-29 4.28.38 PM.png

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发表于 2013-4-29 08:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 hahaa 于 2013-4-29 08:25 PM 编辑

CT今早被止损卡窝了,幻想CT和LBS一样再往下滑,结果小损出局。LBS和CT的支撑位不同,下次要小心料。不过这里CT要是上不去的话,还是可以烧到下面那根蓝线。
2013-04-29-lbsweekly.png
2013-04-29-ctweekly.png

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发表于 2013-4-29 08:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 hahaa 于 2013-4-29 08:35 PM 编辑

现在的papertrading账户(ST)
对ZW和HE比较有信心,可以再拿得时间长些。ES, DX, 和JPY的相关性较强,尤其是浪JPY, 有走钢丝的感觉。俺准备明天看情况都dump掉。
04292013.png

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发表于 2013-4-29 08:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
NG一路狂奔,不知这里能不能打住,我等他掉头开空。
2013-04-29-NGweekly.png

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发表于 2013-4-29 08:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
CL弹得很凶,RB和HO根本就没搭理这茬。奇怪。
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-30 10:44 AM | 显示全部楼层
Move stop loss for 6J to USD/JPY 97.78.

So far the trade is doing fine, but I don't think the risk trade needs the hedge now. I'll close the trade if it can't make a new low overnight.
USDJPY(Hourly)20130430074425.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-30 10:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
Also I will add NQ for the trend trade due to the regained strength in AAPL.
It's breaking out as we speak.
NQ 100 Futures(Hourly)20130430074807.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-4-30 11:09 AM | 显示全部楼层
Fake breakout in US10yr ...
US 10 YR T-Note(Hourly)20130430081114.png
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