3/29-30 DT

90ufo

MFTHT 发表于 2012-3-30 00:02
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Forevergreen 能不能稍微展展下面那两个SP和ES的COT参数图形告诉我们什么意思?  ...

COT = commitment of trader
分成三类, 据说是这样的, 我不sure: large trader(dumb money), small trader(dumb money), commercial hedger (smart money)

MFTHT

90ufo 发表于 2012-3-30 00:06
COT = commitment of trader
分成三类, 据说是这样的, 我不sure: large trader(dumb money), small  ...

多谢碟妹扫盲。但是Forevergreen这张图看不出如何做DT, 因为3/20以后的COT都是一样的，应该是中期走势吧？

MFTHT

90ufo 发表于 2012-3-30 00:06
COT = commitment of trader
分成三类, 据说是这样的, 我不sure: large trader(dumb money), small  ...

90ufo

MFTHT 发表于 2012-3-30 00:15
多谢碟妹扫盲。但是Forevergreen这张图看不出如何做DT, 因为3/20以后的COT都是一样的，应该是中期走势吧？ ...

是中期的.  COT 只能参考, 我觉得是乱指, commercial hedger 有时候能提前转向很久,市场才转向.

MFTHT

90ufo 发表于 2012-3-30 00:28
是中期的.  COT 只能参考, 我觉得是乱指, commercial hedger 有时候能提前转向很久,市场才转向.

谢谢碟妹。

MFTHT

各位晚安。大家明天发财。

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2012-3-29 23:46
债市我现在还不敢碰。估计以后也不会碰了。图形比较奇怪，看了一圈图，觉得只有月线图比较清楚。:(200612 ...

Yes I use 60m chart for intraday ST ...
ZN is actually less leveraged than 6E and 6J, check them out at the futures homepage.
For these three instruments, I use only one contract for trading, but I get the effect of four ES contracts. So it's a much efficient use of capital and it's also safer since the margin is much less than that of ES trading (4 times larger position). That's why I can do large intraday ST ...

silicon_beaver

MFTHT 发表于 2012-3-29 19:27
牧童兄，晚上好。今天有抢到底吧？

This week needs a rest. too many stop-out made me confidence out also.  

silicon_beaver

回复 90ufo 的帖子

Thanks 碟妹.

Google the information by 碟妹.

COT Wiki

Another site says
Small Speculators: the individual investors, generally traders like you, and me, or what is known as the “retail trader.”  Investors who trade their own money, for their own profit and gain.

Large Speculators: generally banks and hedge fund managers, and are generally doing this type of investing using other peoples money to profit from large moves in the market.

Large Commercial Traders: generally producers such as farmers, or large factories. It's unknown that their full intention, why long, or why short.  generally different with others speculators.

licai5688

MFTHT

silicon_beaver 发表于 2012-3-30 01:52
This week needs a rest. too many stop-out made me confidence out also.

休息一哈再战。

MFTHT

90ufo

good morning

MFTHT

今天可能会“V”?

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imtigerking

MFTHT 发表于 2012-3-30 09:48
今天可能会“V”?

[/img]

兄弟牛啊, 讲讲怎么看的吧?

胡同儿串子

MFTHT 发表于 2012-3-30 06:48
今天可能会“V”?

[/img]

nice call!

imtigerking

good morning各位,

learner2009

GM

imtigerking

回复 MFTHT 的帖子

成,待会聊

MFTHT

imtigerking 发表于 2012-3-30 11:28
回复 MFTHT 的帖子

成,待会聊

这两天牛熊走得比较规整。看图，前面三根红线熊熊完成了3次push down, 今早这第四根红线是牛牛完成第一次push up后的回调。本以为这次回调会被34#图中的那两根红色趋势线撑住，但牛牛比我预想的要强， 在spx的EMA50就得到有效支撑了。

当时说"V"纯是蒙的, 我就想着上午完成牛牛的第一次push up的回调后，中午或下午会回来retest ES早盘高点（1406.25）或3/27形成的spx顶点压力线，我也没想到会V在spx的EMA50。