11-28-2011 ST 更新

Diver

another good news for bulls:

my system's intraday signal on SPY today turned stronger (bullish) although SPY opened gap up and rallied so huge (the signal normally turns weaker while price goes up and turns stronger while price goes down).

abaqus

Diver 发表于 2011-11-28 09:42
another good news for bulls:

my system's intraday signal on SPY today turned stronger (bullish) a ...

读了一头雾水，不过赞一个哈！

Diver

Diver 发表于 2011-11-28 07:50
I did not have time to post charts over the weekend. My vision is the downside room below SPX 1150 ...

BB mouth on weekly SPY chart is shrinking!

aimei

feeling its a suck rally
Euro doesn't look good

sandera

周五最低点附近未进去,今天,到目前为止这样子走法,暂时先不进了........

象是极短暂的反弹,也象是在ST的筑底过程中.

在测试使用我的ST的信号,还是等信号再进,应该很快有机会.

Diver

spy p-bar to 119.47! Haha, bears' ambition is tiny today.

Diver

I will buy back at today's open low.

Diver

I bought back SPY calls @ 119.5 that I sold above 119.82 this morning.

My typo earlier. Thanks "诗词欣赏  119?  发表于 2011-11-28 09:25" for correction.

Diver

If today can close HOD, tomorrow should gap up open.

abaqus

aimei 发表于 2011-11-28 10:00
feeling its a suck rally
Euro doesn't look good

也算是一个理由吧。不过 Euro 不一定总是和 SPX 正相关的。我觉得：还是看SPX 为主。

abaqus

sandera 发表于 2011-11-28 10:07
周五最低点附近未进去,今天,到目前为止这样子走法,暂时先不进了........

象是极短暂的反弹,也象是在ST的 ...

星期五的低点应该进去的，可惜我也没有。我的计划是每跌一次，就上20%，上了两次，就手软了。
没有按计划行动，胡同太熊了，多多少少受一些影响。
今天一高开，我也晕过去了。等吧。

abaqus

Diver 发表于 2011-11-28 11:43
If today can close HOD, tomorrow should gap up open.

看看VIX最后会怎么走？

abaqus

牛牛说：看看！一面牛旗，飘啊飘！
熊熊说：嘿嘿， Short at bouncing!

俺不知道啊。去一半，hold 一半吧，如果你有Swing Long的话。

Diver

Diver 2011-11-24 20:12

4hr chart is bottomed for sure but daily chart is hard to say-some indicators are bottomed but some other indicators are not sure yet.

Diver

Diver 2011-11-27 12:17


From Weekly SPY charts, we are at the bottom or very close to the bottom. This coincides with AAPL charts shown below.

From the monthly charts, I am not very sure about the midterm (a few months) trend. But it seems it does not void a near term (a few weeks) rebound.


Overall conclusion:
A year-end (Santa-rally) is due. It is hard to tell the trend after New Year now, that may depend on the Eurozone crisis development and geopolitical evolution (for example, Lybian crisis and South China Sea crisis). Since it is still too early to see that far from now, we will review the situation then and analyze the PT charts to be provided at that time.

I can only tell the year-end rally will occur. But I cannot predict the timing (I guess maybe around Dec 1) and the starting point (many people are eyeing SPX 1150). As I guess the expected year-end rally will recover last week's loss on SPY, I am already in long and diving under water now.

sunnysunny

也许再测115后再开始Santa-rally

Diver

米国的对冲基金经理们真是固执己见。明明上一波从SPY107到129自己做反了或者踏空了，这次深幅回调是个纠正错误、上牛车的机会，却仍然坚持砸空！上星期欧洲已经连涨几天了，米国股市在感恩节前后还继续跌几天。今天欧洲已经收深绿了，米国还想收红？

abaqus

Diver 发表于 2011-11-28 13:11
米国的对冲基金经理们真是固执己见。明明上一波从SPY107到129自己做反了或者踏空了，这次深幅回调是个纠正错 ...

收红的可能性很小，再看看

abaqus

sunnysunny 发表于 2011-11-28 13:02
也许再测115后再开始Santa-rally

从这里一下跌到 115 有点可怕，明天吧

NZX

sunnysunny 发表于 2011-11-28 15:02
也许再测115后再开始Santa-rally

不会的，真的跌到115，圣诞前就起不来了。