Thunderpark Market Review - 7/20/2016

thunderpark

7/20/2016
SENTIMENT: NEUTRAL-UP            
1)        VOLUME: Improved volume from QQQ and SMALL CAP.  涨幅和VOLUME 变化一致。 利多。

2)        ROBO-TA-STRENGTH:  科技，HEALTH CARE, RETAILER 领涨， ENERGY, 材料LAGS.  ROBOT 今天进一步SUGGEST做空ENERGY AND GOLD.  WITH THE VOLATILITY IN THESE TWO AREAS, I WILL SUGGEST TAKE IT SLOWLY AND CAUTIOUSLY.  

3)        VIX: RETREATED 而且一点热气都没有， 利多， 不利长久持空仓

4)        OTHER ASSETS: TLT AND GOLD BOTH RETREATED. MY TBT TRADE REVIVED TODAY, BUT NEED FURTHER CONFIRMATION.  RIGHT NOW, SEEMS GOLD MINER IS EASIER TO SQUEEZE.

5)        OIL PRICE WEAK， BUT AGAIN, NOT CRASHING.  
6)        今天欧洲银行表现OK， 暗示欧洲形势在稳定中。 利多

RECOMMENDATION:
多头： HOLD. 不用追高。 由于各个AREA表现比一，应该会有PULL BACK AND BUY DIP的机会。（ER PROSPECT IS GOOD SO FAR, 70% COMPANIES OUTPERFORMED SO FAR）
空头：  需要良好心态和神仙境界， 否则会非常STRESSFUL.  建议一般人在现在这种情况下尽量不要做空。 市场目前需要除价格以外更有说服力的原因做空, 尤其是赌大盘的。  目前某些领域有WEAKNESS (ENERGY AND MINERS), 不过还是要谨慎。            

novice_trader

coexist

lakeFJ

源济

谢谢分享！

abcd

今天出了。再等dip

tcm328pan

Thanks

bucks

georgeyn

风行过

bokchoy888

市场目前需要除价格以外更有说服力的原因做空, 尤其是赌大盘的  

wnd4

HappyMoney

shibainu

acoust

TigerFox

秋雨

Bencat

lilitulip

XLE holding well though OIL not,  what do you think? Also does GDX bounce today is short term to you? thanks

thunderpark

lilitulip 发表于 2016-7-21 11:19 AM
XLE holding well though OIL not,  what do you think? Also does GDX bounce today is short term to you ...

one of my dust position stopped out at 6.4 today(bought at 6.52 this morning).  Another batch I bought last Friday, still up pretty big.  I will decide near close.  For the direction of GDX, right now I don't see it changed direction even with today's reverse, I might just keep watching at this moment.