SPY road map for next week and next two months ...

Ed02 · 发表于 2016-4-17 08:22 AM

本帖最后由 Ed02 于 2016-4-17 08:30 AM 编辑

Most likely, SPY will dip to ~200 by next Friday (4/25), and then ~17x by mid-June FOMC...

ysc · 发表于 2016-4-17 09:01 AM

yanzi · 发表于 2016-4-17 10:41 AM

Are you the same Ed02 in ceremic_baby's group? Just curious. Thank you very much for sharing.

cbd · 发表于 2016-4-17 11:00 AM

superxy · 发表于 2016-4-17 12:07 PM

Can;t believe...

snailittle · 发表于 2016-4-17 12:21 PM

it has been making higher highs and higher lows, why so bearish.
let us at least see a lower low first

tortose · 发表于 2016-4-17 12:38 PM

语不惊人四不休

风行过 · 发表于 2016-4-17 12:45 PM

definitely possible. i am hoping a gap up Monday some kind.

wreckbeach · 发表于 2016-4-17 12:52 PM

顶顶顶!
这么夸张啊? 吓S.了。推迟一周开始下跌行不行？

wreckbeach · 发表于 2016-4-17 01:05 PM

我的看法如下：

cbd · 发表于 2016-4-17 01:38 PM

Ed02 · 发表于 2016-4-17 01:38 PM

yanzi 发表于 2016-4-17 10:41 AM
Are you the same Ed02 in ceremic_baby's group? Just curious. Thank you very much for sharing.

yes, that is me as well ...

Ed02 · 发表于 2016-4-17 01:40 PM

wreckbeach 发表于 2016-4-17 01:05 PM
我的看法如下：

Time/Market/MM will tell ...

Hutong9999 · 发表于 2016-4-17 02:21 PM

葡萄柚 · 发表于 2016-4-17 03:18 PM

Thanks

Ed02 · 发表于 2016-4-17 10:42 PM

So far CL has dropped ~4.7% to 39.7x, and ES has dropped ~0.61% to 2062.25. Typically such a big ES gap may be filled within the week, as I still feel there should be a push-up on 60 min for SPY still. However, now CL may be the leading predictor for indices again and MM may just simply pull the rug for bulls until FOMC.

There are several most likely routes but will need to see the overnight Asian/European sessions go and how the the tomorrow morning openings (first 1-2 hours) to confirm what is the route for the topping. No matter what, still it looks now the most likely target for CL might be ~35.xx by the end of this week and SPY will revist 200.xx by Friday. If that is indeed the case, later this week, MT bears may want to cover some MT shorts as the week after (FOMC week) may again rebound back to 208~209 area for SPY.

Ed02 · 发表于 2016-4-17 10:43 PM

As of now, there is still a possibility that SPY may go higher the first 1-2 hours tomorrow AM while it seems less likely CL may recover much (but may get stabilized). So better just wait and see...

Ed02 · 发表于 2016-4-18 06:24 PM

Things ballpark go as expected. Have accumulated a lot of shorts ... Waiting for the miracle moment to come

Ed02 · 发表于 2016-4-18 06:24 PM

Things ballpark go as expected. Have accumulated a lot of shorts ... Waiting for the miracle moment to come

yanzi · 发表于 2016-4-18 06:29 PM

The market does not want to pull back. it is too hard to make money to short.

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SPY road map for next week and next two months ...

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