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Forex/Futures ST for Week 6/10-6/14

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发表于 2013-6-9 12:40 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


Here is our weekly recap ...
So far so good, but bulls are not out of woods yet. doji has to confirmed with a bull bar to be sure. Let's keep our figure crossed. Our long-term positions are still in long and are waiting for the back test of the previous all-time high. Our short-bond is still in to hedge the income fund.
US Small Cap 2000(Weekly)20130609103344.png
Japan 225(Weekly)20130609103311.png
DAX(Weekly)20130609103247.png
NQ 100(Weekly)20130609103222.png
US SPX 500 Futures(Weekly)20130609103130.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-9 12:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
Bonds have remained bearish. These traders have been preparing for QE tapering for a month by now.
US 30 YR T-Bond(Weekly)20130609104035.png
Euro Bund(Weekly)20130609103957.png
Japan Govt. Bond(Weekly)20130609103922.png
US 10 YR T-Note(Weekly)20130609103836.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-9 12:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
CRUDE is very bullish last week. Let's see whether it will break out up. But GOLD turned bearish, seems like another down leg is coming.
Gold(Weekly)20130609104539.png
Crude Oil(Weekly)20130609104243.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-9 12:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
Copper is backing off, while apparently due to China. Stay away from emerging markets and resources!
Copper(Weekly)20130609104709.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-9 12:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
CAD/AUD are at MA20 or key S/R ... probably will consolidate here first ...
AUDUSD(Weekly)20130609105032.png
USDCAD(Weekly)20130609104953.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-9 12:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
EUR/GPB are very bullish, but wee need follow through to have a lasting trend.
AUDUSD(Weekly)20130609105032.png
USDCAD(Weekly)20130609104953.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-9 12:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
JPY tested ma20 violently! This also happened in JGB 10yr and NIKKEI, incidating some big players have liquidated. So the bottom in these bullish bets very likely have been observed last week.
USDJPY(Weekly)20130609104914.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-9 12:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
I'm again back to NIKKEI with one contract to test water. This time I'm using 200 points training stop loss.

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-9 12:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
I still can't update the portfolio since morningstar has yet to update all fund prices!

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-9 01:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
Also, my machine trading signals for ST YM based on the 20min chart:

The long position was entered at 12pm on Jun 6, and the last short position was closed at 12:40pm on Jun 4. The trailing stop is 100 pt for long and 80 pt for short.

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发表于 2013-6-9 09:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-6-9 12:57 PM
I'm again back to NIKKEI with one contract to test water. This time I'm using 200 points training st ...

NKD可能会有第二腿?
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发表于 2013-6-9 09:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-6-9 01:00 PM
Also, my machine trading signals for ST YM based on the 20min chart:

The long position was entere ...

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发表于 2013-6-9 09:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-6-9 01:00 PM
Also, my machine trading signals for ST YM based on the 20min chart:

The long position was entere ...

为啥改成YM了?ES和YM走势相似,YM有什么优点吗?
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-9 09:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
hahaa 发表于 2013-6-9 10:01 PM
NKD可能会有第二腿?

NKD will follow ES ... so it's a ST trade.

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-9 09:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
hahaa 发表于 2013-6-9 10:07 PM
为啥改成YM了?ES和YM走势相似,YM有什么优点吗?

The draw down is smaller, and the win/loss rate in swing trend following is higher due to its lower volatility.

点评

多谢。  发表于 2013-6-9 09:47 PM

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发表于 2013-6-9 09:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-6-9 09:32 PM
NKD will follow ES ... so it's a ST trade.

我猜,ES明天也许会走头肩底的右肩, 我在1626设了一个买单,  止损1618.

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发表于 2013-6-9 09:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2013-6-9 09:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2013-6-9 10:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
hahaa 发表于 2013-6-9 09:47 PM
我猜,ES明天也许会走头肩底的右肩, 我在1626设了一个买单,  止损1618.

算了,还是把这个地雷删了。不该赚的钱不赚,不贪心为好。不敢凭感觉做单,还是等着买突破吧。
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-9 11:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
hahaa 发表于 2013-6-9 10:47 PM
我猜,ES明天也许会走头肩底的右肩, 我在1626设了一个买单,  止损1618.

Good plan!
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