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[放炮] 希望格林斯潘的预测能再准一次

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发表于 2017-8-5 10:04 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


当他是FED主席的时候,人们会仔细研究他说的每一句话。这次他又在警告美国债市将可能闪崩,有没有道理?
也许当联储会加息,缩表一齐上时,利率会急剧上升,债市也可能泻下去。毕竟低利率八一一九年了……
股市也可能同泻下去。
发表于 2017-8-5 10:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
这要问问椰奶会不会这么做
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 楼主| 发表于 2017-8-6 05:17 AM | 显示全部楼层
Over the next decade, interest payments on the debt are projected to be the fastest growing part of the federal budget.

Last year, the federal government spent $241 billion – roughly 1.3 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – on interest payments. That’s among the lowest at any point since the 1970s, driven by historically low interest rates.

Yet recent market activity and Federal Reserve actions already suggest interest rates will rise; yields on the 3-month Treasury bill doubled in the past 5 months, while yields on the 10-year Treasury note rose 50 percent.


when interest rate is up, it will be much more than 241 Billion
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 楼主| 发表于 2017-8-6 05:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
coexist 发表于 2017-8-5 10:44 PM
这要问问椰奶会不会这么做

she may get layoff next year . (?????)
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