小学生的 ES 作业 (12/30/2015)

HappyMoney

感谢各位老大的热情支持和鼓励. 还望不吝赐教.



ES made its new high in overnight session, and then slowly drifted lower. It opened around middle of yesterday's range, made its initial intraday low in the first hour, and then traded within 7 pt range most of the day, until 3:30pm. At 3:30, ES had a very sharp drop of 10 pts in 10 mins. I don't know what the reason was. Maybe it has something related to some breaking news. I don't know and I don't really care. There is only 1 more trading day left before the year end. No real big seller will do any meaningful selling today, especially in this way.

Today ES consolidated after a big gap-and-go yesterday. Most of today's trading was inside yesterday's range, until the last 30 min selloff. The low of today on SPX is 2061, right at 200 day MA, 3 points above flat-on-year mark. So no real damage. It is clear that the big guys want SPX to close the year above 2058. Only 1 day left. That goal should be able to achieve. If today's late afternoon selloff was caused by some breaking news, tomorrow it could easily recover to ES 2061~2064 area. Yesterday's gap was only filled halfway. And it is likely to be filled sometime later.

For tomorrow ES trading:
·         The odds in favor SPX to close the day and the year above 2058. For tomorrow, all technical supports/resistances will be less important comparing to this magic level – SPX 2058. So if any selloff during the day, try to long below ES 2050 by a few points, and target somewhere above 2050, as long as the selloff momentum is not too strong.
·         2068~2072 could have some resistance.
·         Tomorrow is the last trading day for the year. The volume will be low. Maybe it is a good idea to take the day off.

葡萄柚

lakeFJ

shibainu

tcm328pan

Thanks

源济

georgeyn

thanks for sharing!

ysc

cfayahoo

looks like gap are all filled , touched 2048.5 in the morning

HappyMoney

If they still want SPX to close the year above 2058, they have to something now. ES low of the day 2037. They need to defend 2035. And Nasdaq 5000 is an important level.

cfayahoo

HappyMoney 发表于 2015-12-31 10:48 AM
If they still want SPX to close the year above 2058, they have to something now. ES low of the day 2 ...

Here we go, 2058, the magic number, MM wants to close the yr green, even just tiny bit???

acoust

新年快乐！

novice_trader

真棒! 不过坚持每天不容易,但最候获得最大最多的也是你自己! 加油!!

HappyMoney

novice_trader 发表于 2015-12-31 07:03 PM
真棒! 不过坚持每天不容易,但最候获得最大最多的也是你自己! 加油!!

谢老大鼓励。这样做了两天就发现确实不一样，平常自己做功课经常找借口偷懒不做，有时既便做了也是应付一下草草了事。但这两天就会多花些时间，认认真真地读图，准备工作会更具体细致。虽然我的水平很有限，但总是在脑子里把思路理顺了许多。事先准备工作充分了，操作的时候决定也容易下。这样每天写帖确实挺花时间，但的确值得，我会尽量坚持下去。这样给自己施加点压力，要不我肯定会偷懒的。

向老大学习，还望不吝赐教。

新年快乐！

novice_trader

HappyMoney 发表于 2015-12-31 10:29 PM
谢老大鼓励。这样做了两天就发现确实不一样，平常自己做功课经常找借口偷懒不做，有时既便做了也是应付一 ...

加油！

smin33