小学生的 ES 作业 (12/29/2015)

HappyMoney

先简单介绍一下自己. 本人做 ES 的时间不算太长, 成绩不理想, 急需在多方面大幅度提高. 来胡同的时间不长, 发现高手林立, 学到很多东西. 在 Novice Trader 老大的鼓励下决定写点作业贴出来. 主要目的有两个:
(1) 督促自己完成作业, 不要偷懒. 平常虽然也写作业, 但总是两天打鱼两周晒网.
(2) 请各位老大帮忙指正, 看看有什么错误和遗漏的地方. 我也好提高的更快.

有一点要特别强调, 我做 ES 是小学生水平, 千万别因为我的帖子而影响你的正确判断. 再有, 就是请各位老大不吝赐教.

我的帖一般用英文, 因为我敲中文实在太慢了.


Today ES went above the 2072 intraday, and entered the resistant area of 2072~2086. This is very critical. And I expect it will face some real challenge. But if above 2086, the next resistance is 2096. If 2096 breaks, it could challenge all time high, which is not completely out of the question. Even though I think the odds in favor the downside, anything is possible in the market. Chasing long is not prudent at this level. I think the prudent strategy for now is to take small trade intraday, and see what January brings. If the current rally is nothing but year-end window dressing, January probably will go down to SPX 2020, if not more.

Daily chart ES went above the downtrend line from 12/2. But today it left a big gap 2060.75~2048.5, which is very likely to be filled sometime later. Above downtrend line is positive. But a big unfilled gap makes it vulnerable to the downside.

For tomorrow trading:
•         The bias is neutral for ES, after a big gap up and go day. I see odds in favor some kind of pullback.
•         If ES can stay above 2072~2069, it opens the door to challenge 2085.
•         If ES below 2072~2069 and stay below, it could target 2067 or 2061. But 2050 will be a strong support before year end.

源济

绿豆糕

葡萄柚

Thanks!

tcm328pan

Thanks

sunshine99

acoust

cfayahoo

Support your daily update!!!

shibainu

novice_trader

真棒!!!! 支持每天写日至!!!!

smin33

HappyMoney

感谢各位胡同邻居的支持和慷慨解囊，我终于荣升为群众股民了。感动中........

hnhy

HappyMoney

I expect an inside day today.

luckystar2006

ysc

Jeff

hais

加油。我喜欢你的报告的一点是，你用if, then ...的方式思考。