ES期指（1月21日）

novice_trader

源济 发表于 2015-1-20 11:16 PM
谢谢分享！

多谢老大！

zhao

summer123 发表于 2015-1-20 10:39 PM
welcome to get out of water to say something. You are 2009 guy with 500 HuMoney.

thank you Summer, I registered at that time while seldom came until recently, missed lots of good posts

zhao

novice_trader 发表于 2015-1-20 10:47 PM
除了一些垃圾股，就作ES。（垃圾股最好不要写出来，误导大家啦！）

thank you for your sharing

littletiger

novice_trader 发表于 2015-1-20 11:22 PM
多谢老大！

some speculation for tomorrow

1. very likely a V or reverse V with at least 10 ES points in each direction.
2. Not very sure whether it will pull back or rally first.
3. If it rallies to 2025-2027, the drop will be more than 15 ES points.


I bet it drops first and rallies up. But ES is moving up from close 2016 to 2020. If so, remember speculation 3.

For sure, any big pullback or rally stronger than 20points will make the case invalid.

补充内容 (2015-1-21 09:23 AM):
overnight, ES does drop from 2021 to 2008; not sure if the drops is over. Will check in after market open

补充内容 (2015-1-21 09:38 AM):
8:38, ES continues dropping to 2005 and then rally very quickly 2016. I am out. wait and see mode

补充内容 (2015-1-21 09:51 AM):
MM is waiting for Euro central bank news. ES is in range play

补充内容 (2015-1-21 03:17 PM):
ES overnight can rally one more time to 2030? if so, a drop below 2010 is possible.
Overall, the trend is up but It's also hard to rally a lot from here.

补充内容 (2015-1-21 04:03 PM):
shorting at 2026 and be prepared to see ES run up to 2032 again. if so, I ma add 1 more ES short

acoust

wayout

gcf108

祝福牛牛！

zhao

how's your model looked today's market? will it 跨越 2031是强阻力线 by today?

novice_trader

zhao 发表于 2015-1-21 11:48 AM
how's your model looked today's market? will it 跨越 2031是强阻力线 by today?

2031是旧阻力线。应该没问题。不过, 这是盘感, 模型没有momentum功能。

zhao

novice_trader 发表于 2015-1-21 12:05 PM
2031是旧阻力线。应该没问题。不过, 这是盘感, 模型没有momentum功能。

thank you

NG_NM

“时代不一样，这是高科技时代，信息时代。大家从网上就能找到很多资料，同时，又因为MM本身的手段（总要移动价钱吧！)，于是露出一些图形痕迹。所以，这些散户（包括对冲基金），就常常想到MM的前头，MM还没有买，这些人一窝蜂的在前面就冲上去，按照MM过去的图形杀上去，以为MM会照瓢画葫。哪里想到等待他们就是MM在阻力线上的利刃。”

十分宝贵的经验。

小散总以为自己是股神，比专业人员，比别人，比邻居聪明，结果自然是聪明反被聪明误。

novice_trader

NG_NM 发表于 2015-1-21 12:38 PM
“时代不一样，这是高科技时代，信息时代。大家从网上就能找到很多资料，同时，又因为MM本身的手段（总要移 ...

双手赞同！其实，我就时常犯这样的错误，只不过现在少了一点而已。嘿嘿。

NG_NM

littletiger 发表于 2015-1-21 12:02 AM
some speculation for tomorrow

1. very likely a V or reverse V with at least 10 ES points in ea ...

”对墙自言自语，功力有限。胡说八道，权当娱乐啦！“

说出这话的人，必然源于见多识广。:-)。

Elephant

2021没冲过去

NG_NM

细雨润无声，春雨贵如油。对不？