这两天怎么缠呀

austinjoe

捷思 发表于 2013-10-8 03:30 PM

Thanks for sharing! Have same view as your 5Min chart.

mikeqc

捷思 发表于 2013-10-8 04:30 PM

捷思，为啥说 “72-1” 30分走势还没有结束？

捷思

mikeqc 发表于 2013-10-9 05:10 AM
捷思，为啥说 “72-1” 30分走势还没有结束？

是一个预测

捷思

austinjoe

捷思 发表于 2013-10-10 03:14 PM

Thanks for sharing! Perfect 2 中枢 1F 级别 趋势背驰 as you pointed Tuesday.

Question: on your SPY Daily chart, why 99-1100 the same 级别 as 100-101?

I take 99-100 as 2 中枢 5F 级别上涨 -- same view as you. Could you please share why 100-101 is still 5F 级别 now?

捷思

austinjoe 发表于 2013-10-10 01:57 PM
Thanks for sharing! Perfect 2 中枢 1F 级别 趋势背驰 as you pointed Tuesday.

Question: on you ...

99-100-101都是日线笔，在日线图上分析时，都看作5分级别走势。和从1分线段递归的结果可能不一致。
1-101的走势，如果看es用1分钟图递归,似乎还是5分级别，没有到9段升级。

austinjoe

捷思 发表于 2013-10-10 09:36 PM
99-100-101都是日线笔，在日线图上分析时，都看作5分级别走势。和从1分线段递归的结果可能不一致。
1-10 ...

Thank you very much for your answer.

I use 1分线段递归 on SPX. If start draw 中枢 from 09/23 SPX low 1697, then it's a 5F中枢, and last Friday 10/04 SPX high  1691.94 is 5F中枢 3rd sell. 10/09 SPX low 1646.47 is 1F 1st Buy + 5F中枢盘整背驰.

If start draw 中枢 from 09/25 SPX low 1691.88, till 10/04 SPX high 1691.94, then it's a 30F中枢. That's why I posted same view as you for your SPY 5min chart on Oct 8 2013. And in this case 10/09 SPX low is 30F中枢盘整背驰 + 1F 1st Buy.

Fully agree with you the rise from 1646 is only 1F线段类上涨 and 5 is 类背驰 with 3 unless SPX could shoot up to 171x today. There will be 1F中枢 formed to end this 1F线段类上涨 and grow up to 1F级别走势.

捷思

austinjoe

捷思 发表于 2013-10-15 01:20 AM

Thanks a lot for sharing your market view and heads up on importance on 16. My 2 cents: SPX 1696 and 1692 will be the test line for bear's next pull back.

milan1126

austinjoe 发表于 2013-10-15 08:49 AM
Thanks a lot for sharing your market view and heads up on importance on 16. My 2 cents: SPX 1696 a ...

So far healthy consolidation for bulls. In my chart with pre-market and after hour data, it is now 5分级别中枢震荡. My path 1 and 2 are still on the table. The key now is whether the next 1分上涨 will be stronger than the 1分上涨 from last Wednesday to Friday.

austinjoe

milan1126 发表于 2013-10-15 02:50 PM
So far healthy consolidation for bulls. In my chart with pre-market and after hour data, it is now ...

You're right. Even without using after hour and pre-market data, today SPX's wide swing make the rise from SPX 1645 grow to 5F 级别. Today's spx low 1695.93 has the potential as 5F 2nd buy + 3rd buy.

However, if look in big picture under 30F中枢. The strength and its internal structure of next rise needs to be watched closely. If SPX could not hit 1745 within next 2 days, it would be 5F中枢盘整背驰 + 30F中枢盘整背驰. It could be a perfect example of 区间套的精确定位 with 缠论.

捷思

捷思

austinjoe

捷思 发表于 2013-10-19 01:19 AM

Thanks a lot for sharing!. Question: SPY 1分线段 94-95 on Oct 15. Could you please post 1 min chart to show details? My data feed shows 3 1分线段 here.

捷思

austinjoe

捷思 发表于 2013-10-19 08:43 PM

Thanks a lot! I guess it is old BI definition on 292--293. New BI definition will draw 3 bi here which will make 3 1F xianduan.

捷思

austinjoe 发表于 2013-10-20 11:15 AM
Thanks a lot! I guess it is old BI definition on 292--293. New BI definition will draw 3 bi here ...

292-293暂且划分为5笔，第二笔只有4根k线，第四笔则出现底分型12：40高于顶分型12：35
第一笔结束于12：28.

austinjoe

捷思 发表于 2013-10-20 08:59 PM
292-293暂且划分为5笔，第二笔只有4根k线，第四笔则出现底分型12：40高于顶分型12：35
第一笔结束于12： ...

Thank you 捷思 for your answer!

May be data feeding issue -- my 1min chart 12:25 and 12:28 has same spy 170.67 to draw 3笔 for 292--293. See Pic.

The modified 笔的成立条件略微放松一下 compare to original definition. Refer to -- 忽闻台风可休市，聊赋七律说《风灾》 (2007-09-18 22:53:57)

捷思

austinjoe 发表于 2013-10-20 07:24 PM
Thank you 捷思 for your answer!

May be data feeding issue -- my 1min chart 12:25 and 12:28 h ...

有理。
两根k线高度相同，我是取后者。因此结果不同，可能都可以。