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5/14 - 5/15 DT

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发表于 2012-5-15 01:17 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


Bears scored big today. Now both ES and ZN are reversing ... but ZN is refusing to back off ...
Let's see when the last shoe (I really hope this would be the last one in a while) will drop ...
es.png
zn.png
Euro has been following the Fib levels very closely ...
euro.png
JPY advancement hit a snag at a key level. Apparently BOJ set it a while ago ... check it out by following the line back in time ...
jpy.png

ES and ZN/ZB are still the games in town for the next few days ... it seems.

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发表于 2012-5-15 01:48 AM | 显示全部楼层
ZN is too strong.
I did a paper-trade, short ZN, and stopped out.
The charts says, going long is right direction )don't know how could i "short" it)
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2012-5-15 03:00 AM | 显示全部楼层
ES, spx
05152012_1.png
05152012_2.png
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发表于 2012-5-15 08:04 AM | 显示全部楼层
半夜又一次tset high了,这回如果在掉下来,应该破位了吧,恐怖。
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-15 11:29 AM | 显示全部楼层
Update ...
ES made another new low ... down trend still strong ...
es.png
ZN still reversing ... need to see where it stop with respect to the trenline ...
zn.png
EURO broke down ... next stop: this year's low
euro.png
JPY is consolidating here ... let's see how it respond to the down trendline ...
jpy.png
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-15 11:31 AM | 显示全部楼层
EURO bonds update ...

All rates are up!

German Government Bonds 10 Yr Dbr
1.47000 0.01300 0.89%

France Govt Oats Btan 10 Yr Oat
2.89900 0.07000 2.47%

Italy Govt Bonds 10 Year Gross Yield
5.86400 0.16700 2.93%

SPANISH GOVERNMENT GENERIC BONDS - 10 YR NOTE
6.34700 0.12000 1.93%

PORTUGUESE GOVERNMENT BONDS 10YR NOTE PORTUGAL PL
11.42100 0.30800 2.77%

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-15 02:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
I think we can say the neckline at 1340 is finally broken ...
Next target 1290 ... I'm waiting there already with 1 contract of ES ...
daily.png
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-15 02:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
EURO next stop is probably between 1.25 and 1.26 ...
euro-weekly.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-15 02:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
ES broke down the new downtrend line again ... so the bottom is still sometime in the future ...
es.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-15 05:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-5-15 18:28 编辑

Zero Hedge speculates that Greece may be on the verge of the final collapse because of a bank run following its election 9 days ago, with the President saying that Greeks have withdrawn up to EU700M ($893M) since then. A banking system that has almost no access to external funding, except for the ELA, will be unable to cope if the run continues.
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-15 05:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-5-15 18:27
Zero Hedge speculates that Greece may be on the verge of the final collapse because of a bank run fo ...

This could be the last straw to get those Greeks down to their knees to accept the current arrangement.
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发表于 2012-5-15 10:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-5-15 18:29
This could be the last straw to get those Greeks down to their knees to accept the current arrange ...

i guess euro will go down to 1.25 area before Greeks' default  settle down
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