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楼主: greenback

3/14 - 3/15 DT

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发表于 2012-3-15 01:12 PM | 显示全部楼层


if market could back test white dragon second time I will in again for more points
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-3-15 02:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
so bulls are still safe ... the breakout line holds on the 15m chart ...
15ms.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-3-15 02:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
西安 发表于 2012-3-15 14:12
if market could back test white dragon second time I will in again for more points

I was in a meeting, so missed that ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-3-15 02:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
Another try at reaching new high ...
1m.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-3-15 02:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
so far so good for bulls ... it's normal to hesitate right below the magic psychological level 1400 ...

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发表于 2012-3-15 02:53 PM | 显示全部楼层


多谢绿老大美图。
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-3-15 02:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
I have only 1/4 long position for testing ES 1400, i.e. the SPX C&H target, ~1403 to 1405

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-3-15 03:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
Well, it didn't break out ... let's wait for tonight and tomorrow ...
1m.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-3-15 03:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
Also I got out at 1397 ... getting impatient ... will come back when it dips to the previous low ...
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发表于 2012-3-15 10:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-3-15 13:38
Note the ADV:DEC ~ 1, so expect a more volatile market ...

绿大:what do u mean:" the ADV:DEC ~ 1" how can u tell from ur ADV:DEC chart to interpret a more volatile market?
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-3-15 10:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
开小差 发表于 2012-3-15 23:26
绿大:what do u mean:" the ADV:DEC ~ 1" how can u tell from ur ADV:DEC chart to interpret a more v ...

If you look at the numbers for ADV and DEC in the chart, the ratio of the two numbers is between 1/2 to 2 ... that's what I meant ~ 1.

This indicates that today's no. of up stocks and no. of down stocks are about the same. Since indices are just an a collective indicators of these stocks, the indices can't have a strong (up/down) movement in this situation.

So chasing high or low is not as good as buy low/sell high. Nevertheless, we did have a successful breakout, but it was followed by a deep pullback, which would be rare is UP >3*DOWN ...

Also, since UP > DOWN, so buy low as long is safer than sell high as short ...

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thx a lot  发表于 2012-3-17 09:00 AM
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发表于 2012-3-16 03:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-3-15 19:49
If you look at the numbers for ADV and DEC in the chart, the ratio of the two numbers is between 1 ...

I need spend my weekend to study this, thanks for sharing.
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