11-30-2011 ST 更新

Bencat

SPY will reach 200 day MA =126 - 127 first, then we need more signals for next judgement. my 2 cents

abaqus

Bencat 发表于 2011-11-30 12:28
SPY will reach 200 day MA =126 - 127 first, then we need more signals for next judgement. my 2 cents

老大看牛！熊熊又给吓回去了，看看今天能不能过124.50

hunting

在我的冲浪动力系统，SPY今天第一个大绿棒，，动力向上，不要买空，，今晚上图，

Diver

Diver 发表于 2011-11-30 10:19
I bought SPY JAN 128 CALLs.

To abaqus:

Don't trust me this time. I may be wrong. My system sell signals esculated today.

hunting

黄金也出现第一个绿棒，其实黄金在SPX方向不明时是挺好的目标，不管SPX涨还是跌，，，黄金都会涨，，，起码晚上睡得着，，，:p:p:p

abaqus

Diver 发表于 2011-11-30 12:51
To abaqus:

Don't trust me this time. I may be wrong. My system sell signals esculated today.

看看收盘吧。按右边操作的话，现在是Swing Long Holding

胡同儿串子

回复 hunting 的帖子

别提了，俺的GC啊。。。 功力真的不够，1681进的被止损了。。。

abaqus

走的没有话可说了，DayDayUp！

Swing Long 就hold吧，每天4点闭上眼睛睡觉，上午9点再睁开眼睛看看，不要发愁啊！
努力右边操作！（左边的不干！不要象我学！）

NZX

abaqus 发表于 2011-11-30 15:53
走的没有话可说了，DayDayUp！

Swing Long 就hold吧，每天4点闭上眼睛睡觉，上午9点再睁开眼睛看看，不要 ...

125到了，俺走了20%。多谢老大昨天拦着不让我卖。

Diver

Diver 发表于 2011-11-29 06:27
VIX is now moving towards yesterday's P-bar. As I said yesterday, a sharp short squeezing is coming  ...

My expected sharp short squeezing came faster than I thought!

And at about 10:40 this morning, I saw another P-bar on VIX 5-min chart poiningo 27.03. That means further more sharp short squeezing is coming soon! Astonishing!

And moreover, I saw a P-bar on SPY 5-min chart today pointing to 119.9971, just closed today's huge gap! That means, more sharp movement to the opposite direction (i.e. rally) is coming soon. Of course, after that rally, this gap will be closed.

All of these support my earlier forecast of a year-end rally and then pullback after New Year.

MFTHT

更正：
今天收盘后money flow的数据 巨正，不知为何盘中一直显现小负。熊熊可以歇一阵了，可能要很长一阵子。

Diver

Diver 发表于 2011-11-30 12:32
My expected sharp short squeezing came faster than I thought!

And at about 10:40 this morning ...

Here are more bullish evidences:

1. Two huge MAD's within 5 days.
2. Based on N vs. N rule, bulls won. (1 day vs. 1 day; 2 days vs. 2 days; and 3 days vs. 3 days.)
3. On SPY PT charts, now I guess both red curve and blue curve on both daily and weekly are all heading up, while on monthly chart, red curve and blue curve refuse to drop from the top zone.
4. Now the market is more and more like the year end rally movement last year, as I believed for almost two months.
5. Today is an MAD and all major indices closed almost HOD. Higher high can be expected after MAD today.
6. The market jumped up huge and did not pull back although my system gave sell signals. Obviously this market is very strong and ignore the sell signals, and that means MM's want to go into more overbought before pullback correction. Thus MM's ambition is big! I guess the target of this rally will be at least last month's peak or even the peak of earlier this year.

Overall conclusion:

The uptrend resumed and confirmed now. I expect more up movement in the short term (for a few weeks). Buying dip and then holding long positions is the correct main strategy, although I may do some anti-trend DT (for example, I will bet gap close tomorrow).

I expect this rally will be up 6 out 7 days pattern again as the strong starting. Now we have seen up 3 days. And I expect tomorrow will be another up day because it is the first day of December. This Friday may also be an up day, because the macro-economic data is likely to be good. The only down day within 7 days may occur on next Monday or Tuesday to correct the sharp overbought mode.

These are my two cents. Hope I am not wrong.

Diver

Obviously HF shorts have been wrapped up globally this time again, just like what happened in HK in 1997.

MFTHT

回复 Diver 的帖子

"Diver  That means shorts captulation. This is a good sign for bulls in mid-term, but we will see a pullback in short term. This is similar to what happened in the beginning of year end rally last year.  发表于 2011-11-30 18:05 "

Yes.
Thanks.

abaqus

MFTHT 发表于 2011-11-30 15:10
回复 Diver 的帖子

"Diver  That means shorts captulation. This is a good sign for bulls in mid-term, ...

如果真的如此，我们在年前应该看到 Spy 130， 然后新高

licai5688

invest4fun

回复 sunnysunny 的帖子

MM神码时候有过良心？

sunnysunny

invest4fun 发表于 2011-11-30 20:30
回复 sunnysunny 的帖子

MM神码时候有过良心？

神码时候有过良心？ 神码意思？

silicon_beaver

sunnysunny 发表于 2011-11-30 21:50
神码时候有过良心？ 神码意思？

"神码"--> when