11.22 DTB ES

开小差

Only 1 trade today

LLN

ppteam

回复 1# 开小差

1. Fri was spike and channel. bar 1 is doji, high odds to bounce from here, I should have just bought the close of bar 1.
2. at bar 4, limit buy at low of bar 3, for 2 and 4 points.
3. missed the down.
4. buy stop at bar 21 for scalp
5. missed the down again.
6. buy close of bar 40 for 2 points, bought SPY call also. Very very high odds to be profitable. I should have saved some ES for swing up.
7. no time to closely watch market for the rest of day.

开小差

thx,i should have wait for the 1st bar close to enter trade.

ppteam

spike and channel is pretty common.
if market will have weakness tomorrow, those channel starting area needs to be paid attention.

on the other hand, current down in 60 mins looks like a bull flag, it's also spike channel. The bullish strength broke out of the channel is fairly decent, so the 2nd leg has chance to test 1215 area, which is down channel starting area.

开小差

spike and channel is pretty common.
if market will have weakness tomorrow, those channel starting a ...
ppteam 发表于 2010-11-22 20:36

    PPT 老大，could u show me the chart to explain spike and channel and how it will go up to 1215, i put the book in China did not bring it back.

ppteam

回复 6# 开小差

开小差

回复  开小差
ppteam 发表于 2010-11-22 20:58

    ic thx.

西安

回复  开小差

1. Fri was spike and channel. bar 1 is doji, high odds to bounce from here, I shoul ...
ppteam 发表于 2010-11-22 20:17

Like your trade in 2.

西安

Only 1 trade today
开小差 发表于 2010-11-22 16:52

It looks like you traded what you thought, but not what you saw.

LLN

回复  开小差

1. Fri was spike and channel. bar 1 is doji, high odds to bounce from here, I shoul ...
ppteam 发表于 2010-11-22 20:17

    Bar 4 is a failed L1. What is your reason to limit buy? A lot of this kind of L1 will not fail.

Diffusion

flash

市场表现很奇怪，从图形看，有第二腿的迹象，不过从TED/LIBOR看，大的资金却没有恐慌，我们可能面临的还只是一个回调？？？希望PPT的看法是对的。