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Market Observation (6/3/2017) (From NT)

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发表于 2017-6-3 10:24 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


本帖最后由 源济 于 2017-6-3 11:15 PM 编辑

Market Observation (6/3/2017)
June 3, 2017

Market did trade in side way for 4 days…but not 7-8 days as I predicted and that will bring the different outcome!

As I said in previous post, we may see market rally go to 2430-50, well, here it is. Based on my observation, it is possible that we may rally to 2445-50 area. But, it will stall there again and back to 2430…that’s my best guess right now.

2380? umm..I wish..but let us step by step…just 2380 right now. How about 2399?

Frankly, in short term, there is possible we may even see some sort of pull back even on Monday(SPX), of course, no guarantee under such bullish environment. I know some charts look very bullish and internal looks fine. However, some early warnings are showing here.

VIX 2 hours : we have divergence here and there is naked bullish pattern formed. It doesn’t mean we will pull back tomorrow. but…

Screen-Shot-06-03-17-111at-01.29-AM.jpg

Meanwhile, I don’t know how many people notice about divergence between SPX and XLF: Based on my experience, sometimes the TOP is formed with divergence between SPX and XLF:

Screen-Shot-06-03-17-222at-01.31-AM.jpg


I already sold some calls and I will continue selling calls on the way up with money management. Of course, if  I am wrong, I will cut and take the lose.

For crude oil, I am still thinking this is just shaking the weak hands. But it is just my observation and it could be wrong. Tighten your stop. My stop is around 45 area.

Have a great weekend!

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发表于 2017-6-3 10:39 PM | 显示全部楼层

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呵,呵呵,呵呵呵,呵呵呵呵....  发表于 2017-6-4 06:49 PM
”没有深度的回帖是不能引起共鸣“。这和 “没有露点的照片是不能得到勃起”同理  发表于 2017-6-4 12:07 PM
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发表于 2017-6-3 11:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
oil is fundamentally bearish.  
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 楼主| 发表于 2017-6-4 12:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
bokchoy888 发表于 2017-6-3 10:39 PM



”没有深度的回帖是不能引起共鸣“。这和 “没有露点的照片是不能得到勃起”同理。
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 楼主| 发表于 2017-6-4 12:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
newyorker 发表于 2017-6-3 11:52 PM
oil is fundamentally bearish.

depends on time frame. what would happen, if there is a major inflation coming?
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发表于 2017-6-4 12:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
风行过 发表于 2017-6-4 12:05 PM
”没有深度的回帖是不能引起共鸣“。这和 “没有露点的照片是不能得到勃起”同理。  ...

大拿,请看这个深度如何

http://hutong9.net/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=360034


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发表于 2017-6-4 01:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
Seasonally banks are weak in June
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发表于 2017-6-4 01:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2017-6-4 01:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
bokchoy888 发表于 2017-6-4 12:54 PM
大拿,请看这个深度如何

http://hutong9.net/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=360034

车,你那是疯牛。熊熊现在只要圈而不打,让那疯牛流血而亡。

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何必熊牛总要挣出个胜负态(+1,-1). 市场的第三态(0)是占总数60-70%的状态.  发表于 2017-6-4 06:48 PM
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发表于 2017-6-4 02:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
风行过 发表于 2017-6-4 01:36 PM
车,你那是疯牛。熊熊现在只要圈而不打,让那疯牛流血而亡。

没看到这么多小散都给顶死了!?
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发表于 2017-6-4 03:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
thank you very much.
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发表于 2017-6-4 04:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks a lot for sharing!
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发表于 2017-6-4 06:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
石油的stop是45? 有点可惜. 估计45是个多方发动的点.
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