超级猛图，一图定江山！大盘将测1950！

chinesebuffet

，

chinesebuffet

1950买入后，会直冲2350！传说中的最后一冲！

chinesebuffet

至于为什么1950买入后，会上冲至2350，我七月初买入后，会上图解释！

MM_Wu

领旨！

chinesebuffet

MM_Wu 发表于 2016-6-24 10:41 PM
领旨！

自己也分析一下，不要盲目领旨，金钱只给勤劳的人！

thunderpark

I think market top is already sealed in near term by Breexit.  New high in near term is not realistic in any sense.  Especially when US bonds is a much stable, better investment compared to equities due to apparent upcoming Fed rate policy.

There will be nothing stops money from being vacuumed into the US bond hole.  

chinesebuffet

thunderpark 发表于 2016-6-24 10:52 PM
I think market top is already sealed in near term by Breexit.  New high in near term is not realisti ...

我指的是四五个月的大势！2350当然不会立刻上去的！

1950倒是有立刻去的可能！

thunderpark

No, not this year, since Fed will never talk about any rate hike possibility before 2018.  And there is no hope the global economy will warm up before Euro zone actually dismembered and then economic order re-established.  Before that, bonds is apparently a winner over stocks.  

All equities have just shot up to new high recently.  There is no bargain in the market.  So, where is the catalyst of your next surge for equities?  Which sector will lead market up to new high in your thesis?  Where is the money flow coming from, when bonds sucked off all the cashes.

Agree that market will get to 1950, but i don't see a bounce here.  The market will get to below 1850, I believe, no need to draw charts.  Since the charts are only to synchronize the potential buyers of the market, so that the market will rebound.  But in our case, the macro is calling people to sell, and there will be more people convinced to sell on the way down.  Right now, people are not fully convinced yet, but they will soon realize when French/Germany gets to the referendum stage.  That's when panick will come.  We will see.

bokchoy888

不谋而合  http://hutong9.net/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=325079

chinesebuffet

thunderpark 发表于 2016-6-24 11:02 PM
No, not this year, since Fed will never talk about any rate hike possibility before 2018.  And there ...

我只看TA，我不觉得有经济危机，FA上，也没有什么大公司倒闭！苹果已经跌无可跌！

chinesebuffet

bokchoy888 发表于 2016-6-24 11:07 PM
不谋而合  http://hutong9.net/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=325079

蛇哥也看1950？

源济

bokchoy888

chinesebuffet 发表于 2016-6-24 11:11 PM
蛇哥也看1950？

蛇哥意思，统计显示，有从高到低 7.5%左右下行

tjtjking

肥哥，为啥不是1850？

thunderpark

chinesebuffet 发表于 2016-6-24 11:10 PM
我只看TA，我不觉得有经济危机，FA上，也没有什么大公司倒闭！苹果已经跌无可跌！

Yeah, I watch charts too.  The problem is,  if there will be a bounce, every time spy bounce above 60% line.  And every time it falls through 60% line, it goes all the way to previous low, will never get rebounce at 50%(which is your 1950 line) and 40% line.  That shows as the pattern for the past one year period.  For our case, I don't see how it can be effectively stopped at 60% as it takes us one day to already get that close to it.

So, my prediction is we we get through 2020 (which is short term low), we will go all the way down this time to 1800.  I am not telling this is a crisis, but just a reasonable normal correction.(10-15%)

dsp

我也看这个点位。不过不知道什么时候到，理想是8月底，或9月中。不过，熊这么猛，搞不好啊，搞不好。3天到位。。你信吗？我不信。

georgeyn

今天大跌可能是跟腱反射，过度反应了，也可能是个熊套！

mojideheng

赞各位大牛分析！学习了！

Lets just wait and see!

coexist

georgeyn 发表于 2016-6-25 12:27 AM
今天大跌可能是跟腱反射，过度反应了，也可能是个熊套！

开小差