SPX 周线 底分型 2011-1120

bucks

周线上，底分型已经基本确立，除非后两天暴跌至 1343 以下，不得不说这大过节的可能性非常小。

难道中期调整就这么结束了？ 缠友们，怎么看 ？

REMAINS TO BE SEEN

gucci

除非后面出现顶分型才能够确认底分型成立, 如果没有的话另外的可能是: 盘整1~2周然后继续新低而导致目前的底分型流产.

感觉目前还很难说调整结束了, 除非SP上1408点. 个人感觉而已.

bucks

gucci 发表于 2012-11-20 10:02 PM
除非后面出现顶分型才能够确认底分型成立, 如果没有的话另外的可能是: 盘整1~2周然后继续新低而导致目前的底 ...

正常是这样，但这个底分型 SO FAR 干净漂亮。过去几年来，伴随的大多是不错的上涨

davidino

应该是差不多了, 但是唯一不放心的是VIX还没怎么飙升过, 调整得太温和了.

austinjoe

It's way too far for bull to claim victory here.

1> weekly MA5 is 1390 now, spx has not being able to hit it.

2> the right side K line Max 1433, Min 1373, spx has to hit half of them which is 1403 by end of this Friday to avoid the fate of 中继底分型.

3> IMHO, in order to get a true 底分型 and an up 笔 on weekly chart, a 5F 3rd buy is always needed. SPX is only on 1F up trend from 1343 and it's facing potential 1F趋势背驰 tomorrow.

gucci

austinjoe 发表于 2012-11-21 12:15 AM
It's way too far for bull to claim victory here.

1> weekly MA5 is 1390 now, spx has not being ab ...

Great recap.
Exactly same feeling here.

explorer

从中枢和形态看，585 应是有效的的底分型(need a higher low for further confirmation)，回调已经结束。
关键是要清楚 571~582 是包含两个中枢的趋势，582 ~585 是一个典型的包含小级别中枢的盘整。。

bucks

explorer 发表于 2012-11-21 02:23 PM
从中枢和形态看，585 应是有效的的底分型(need a higher low to further confirm)，回调已经结束。   ...

nice chart and analysis.

bucks

austinjoe 发表于 2012-11-21 12:15 AM
It's way too far for bull to claim victory here.

1> weekly MA5 is 1390 now, spx has not being ab ...

现在这个底分型更有力了。尽管离确定还早，下周的 PULLBACK 搞不好可以介入了


1> weekly MA5 is 1390 now, spx has not being able to hit it.

---- broken it

2> the right side K line Max 1433, Min 1373, spx has to hit half of them which is 1403 by end of this Friday to avoid the fate of 中继底分型.

---- closed above

bucks

现在底分型已经基本确定了，除非下星期暴跌70点创新低。现实点的话，可能性较小。

但不排除回调的可能，应该是买进机会