10/1 复盘

Diffusion

现在大家知道为什么我比较偏爱1454了吧。

早盘突破1454，回测1454后反弹没有出新高，然后下破。到这里基本上可以肯定早盘的突破是假突破。最佳日内空点是12:30左右的回测1454失败。然后一些如注。当然1450也很重要，不过1454更重要。

周一(而且是本月和本季度第一天)高开低走，一般是为了套住周一入场的mutual fund和散户。既然现在套住了，下面的戏码就是逼他们割肉了。

See, No Think.

ysc

"下面的戏码就是逼他们割肉了。"

Diffusion

ysc 发表于 2012-10-1 03:09 PM
"下面的戏码就是逼他们割肉了。"

抢了我好多沙发了，加100HB鼓励下。

bucks

usamonkey

thank for the post.  But I have a question:

mutual fund will buy at close price, why "套住了"  ?

AHGfollower

军师, 从你的图上看, 现在是从Sep26以来的第五个higher low了, 难道不是应该买吗?

Diffusion

usamonkey 发表于 2012-10-1 03:14 PM
thank for the post.  But I have a question:

mutual fund will buy at close price, why " ...

only passive fund tends to buy at close. many fund has their own trading desk.

Diffusion

AHGfollower 发表于 2012-10-1 03:22 PM
军师, 从你的图上看, 现在是从Sep26以来的第五个higher low了, 难道不是应该买吗?

可是今天一天就出了5个lower high啊。

个人操作方法不同，比较激进的lower high会空，比较保守的higher low会买。看哪个方法合适你。

heheboy

Diffusion 发表于 2012-10-1 03:24 PM
only passive fund tends to buy at close. many fund has their own trading desk.

still, only up for like very short time on a single day, can not trap mutual fund.....

marquis

几万块的 401k 放在 Cash 帐号半年了也不敢动  

Diffusion

heheboy 发表于 2012-10-1 03:29 PM
still, only up for like very short time on a single day, can not trap mutual fund.....

嘿嘿，if MFs are as smart as you, sure they won't

silicon_beaver

marquis 发表于 2012-10-1 01:31 PM
几万块的 401k 放在 Cash 帐号半年了也不敢动

Much better than losing.  

Diffusion

marquis 发表于 2012-10-1 03:31 PM
几万块的 401k 放在 Cash 帐号半年了也不敢动

Barron's建议buy 90% REIT, 10% gold。因为Fed在买MBS，所以短线REIT会好。长线会有inflation，所以长线gold会好。仅供参考。

rightonmoney

现在牛熊又势均力敌了。

Diffusion

rightonmoney 发表于 2012-10-1 03:53 PM
现在牛熊又势均力敌了。

现在我也看熊，大概跟你一个战壕。

austinjoe

I'm still looking for SPX hit 1416 first to load middle-term shot. Today's LH on SPX daily chart is good for bear.

blessed

雪老大要休假去了，俺转学来军师这里

Diffusion

austinjoe 发表于 2012-10-1 04:20 PM
I'm still looking for SPX hit 1416 first to load middle-term shot. Today's LH on SPX daily chart is  ...

Diffusion

blessed 发表于 2012-10-1 04:23 PM
雪老大要休假去了，俺转学来军师这里

欢迎欢迎。

smin33