06/05 - 06/06 DT

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-5 06:59 PM

As I speculated yesterday, the rebound has some leg and is still going on ... NQ is particularly clear: it might retest the bear flag lower bound.

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-5 07:06 PM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-6-5 20:07 编辑

Bonds stopped reversing after backing off 61.8% of the MM from the breakout. It is tempting to jump in if you are still bullish on bonds, but let's be patient. The two reversal bars are too ugly. We still need to see strength first ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-5 07:09 PM

Let's hope GC can break out ... CL is still weak ...

胡同儿串子 · 发表于 2012-6-5 07:12 PM

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-5 07:13 PM

EURO still challenging the trend line ... JPY might be ripe for a long ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-5 07:14 PM

See you all tonight or midnight when I will update again with 4h charts ...

胡同儿串子 · 发表于 2012-6-5 07:15 PM

greenback 发表于 2012-6-5 16:09
Let's hope GC can break out ... CL is still weak ...

GC盘了两天了，明显等消息决定方向

bucks · 发表于 2012-6-5 07:41 PM

胡同儿串子 · 发表于 2012-6-5 08:06 PM

GC breaks out today's high in AH

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-6-5 08:15 PM

kdkboy · 发表于 2012-6-5 09:53 PM

老大太厉害了，这么多图加分析，可惜上班，不敢看啊

说个笑话，昨天买入HK future，NND，bid offer spread 既然到40点，开盘后猛跌，气晕了，亏这钱也卖了，今天一看，既然还有dividend，fxxk，加起来既然还是正的，气死，没注意啥时候有dividend，差点被人家玩了

Japan dollar还真没注意，就是觉得JP future很强，今天stand by，观望吧，好想short 啊

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-5 11:11 PM

kdkboy 发表于 2012-6-5 22:53
老大太厉害了，这么多图加分析，可惜上班，不敢看啊

说个笑话，昨天买入HK future，NND，bid offer spre ...

It happened once to me when ZN/ZB was changing to the Sept contract ...

It was right in the middle of a bull flag ... I thought it was breaking down, but turned out to be a nice entry point missed due to this ...

kdkboy · 发表于 2012-6-5 11:31 PM

本帖最后由 kdkboy 于 2012-6-6 01:01 编辑

Purely TA, short SPX at 1294.8 （原来写1296，不准确，改正），NND又被HK耍了，long没挣钱，short又被暴力踢出去，感觉HK有点狠，要么不做，要么做绝

Oil GOLD 好像在等消息

有点怕今天高开低走

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-6-5 11:38 PM

Like the ES analysis, in particular.

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-6-5 11:41 PM

greenback 发表于 2012-6-5 21:11
It happened once to me when ZN/ZB was changing to the Sept contract ...

It was right ...

I remember it.
Got experience, next time will be ready.

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-5 11:44 PM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-6-6 00:52 编辑

Rebound has clearly gained momentum ...
The triple bottom point to the 0% level in the pink retracement ... basically the edge of the previous cliff in NQ, but far from it in ES ...

kdkboy · 发表于 2012-6-5 11:48 PM

欧洲股市：周二欧股温和高收0.3%，虽然行情波动市场情绪紧张，但投资者依然开始试探性购入重跌的股票，他们寄望全球央行和政府将采取行动，刺激经济复苏。斯托克500指数上涨0.31%，报234.59点;德国DAX指数收报5969.4点，跌0.15%或8.83点。法国CAC 40指数收报2986.1点，升1.07%或31.61点。英股因女王登基60周年纪念继续休市一天。

其他市场方面，在周三即将召开的欧洲央行会议以前，原油期货价格在好于预期的美国服务业指数中找到支撑，纽约7月期油价格上涨31美分或0.4%，报收于每桶84.29美元。布伦特原油期货价格下跌60美分或0.6%，报收于每桶106.51美元。纽约8月期金价格上涨3美元或0.2%，报收于每盎司1616.90美元。

香港股市周二反弹收高，内地股市小幅高开，全天震荡整理，呈现沪强深弱格局，成交量明显萎缩。港股当日反弹中两次受制18400，下午升幅逐步收窄。恒指全日收报18259，升73点;国指收9397，升22点。成交量进一步减至397亿元。技术面上，恒指近日升至近10天(约18700点)前受阻回落，该线已成为短期反弹阻力，另外，50日线(20,129点)亦正式跌穿250天(20,146点)，出现另一道「死亡交叉」。下降中的恒指5天线(18,465点)仍持续制约反弹势头，除非短期内能反弹并企稳于5天线以上，并带动该平均线止跌回扬，大市才有望出现较理想升幅，否则仍宜以5天线作为短期反弹目标。当前市况仍然较为疲弱，在整体不明朗因素未能消除的背景下，目前市场依然是空头主导。欧洲央行将于周三举行议息会议，会否宣布减息来刺激经济将成为市场关注焦点。预计后市不确定因素仍然较多，若恒指跌穿18000点，投资者可逐步吸纳优质蓝筹股以博取反弹

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-5 11:54 PM

Similar conclusion can be made for GC and CL ...

胡同儿串子 · 发表于 2012-6-5 11:59 PM

kdkboy 发表于 2012-6-5 20:31
Purely TA, short SPX at 1296，NND又被HK耍了，long没挣钱，short又被暴力踢出去，感觉HK有点狠，要么不做 ...

did you really short /ES at 1296? that's the highest print in AH so far

greenback · 发表于 2012-6-6 12:04 AM

It's not surprising bonds are still in reversing ... may hit the lower channel boundary ...

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