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05/24 - 05/25 DT

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发表于 2012-5-24 06:19 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


The bonds are so far okay since we still have higher lows along the way, though ZB looks worse.
Neither can make new high decisively ... well, this is understandable because ES/NQ can't make new low decisively either.
At best they will go side way for a while waiting for further news from Europe.
zb.png zn.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-24 06:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
Don't bet EURO will go nose dive right away even if the chart pattern is bearish ... expect side way for a while
JPY is posed to go back to the trendline ... it is a rare case that USD is appreciating against both EURO and JPY ... which means you want to long DX ...
euro.png jpy.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-24 06:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-5-24 19:41 编辑

The good news is that ES/NQ are out of the down trend line, and the bad news is that they are still in triangles.
So maintain the call of side-way/down-drift actions.  However, it should be pointed out that ES is becoming stronger ... NQ remains weak ...

Indeed, if you went through last year's crash, you know Europeans will move really slow ... AGAIN. But should we be more bearish than last year? I don't think so!
es.png nq.png

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发表于 2012-5-24 08:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-5-24 09:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-5-24 11:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
Eng, ES still in triangle. HL and LH, ---> in triangle.

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发表于 2012-5-25 05:23 AM | 显示全部楼层
I short ES at 1229, wish it back to 1220

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牛!  发表于 2012-5-25 12:15 PM

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-25 10:41 AM | 显示全部楼层
kdkboy 发表于 2012-5-25 06:23
I short ES at 1229, wish it back to 1220

You meant you shorted at 1292? 1220 is a long way from here ...

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我猜他是烧在1329,等着在1320卡窝。  发表于 2012-5-25 12:13 PM
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-25 10:44 AM | 显示全部楼层
As for EURO bonds,

German and French rates are down ...
Italian and Spanish rates are up ...

An important development is French rate declined dramatically and continued to do so today ... indicating more outflow of money from the peripheral countries ....
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-25 12:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
Update on the indices ...
Still in triangles, but ES is turning more bullish. This is second day in a row. Bears should take note!
Also, it might form a double bottom pattern if it consolidates here further ... See the zigzag pattern on the chart ...
es.png nq.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-25 12:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
Bonds apparently are also forming triangles,
However ZN is more bullish, it might retest the previous high again ...
zb.png zn.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-25 12:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-5-25 14:46 编辑

There was a very good entry in shorting EURO at 1am CA time. Unfortunately I missed it.
After that we've got a new low this morning ...
JPY is reversing after touching the trend line ... apparently everyone is watching it!
euro.png jpy.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-25 02:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
The weaker YM (DOW 30) found support at the lower channel ... ym-hourly.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-25 02:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
Here is a similar plot for ES ...
You have to agree that ES touched the uptrend line again in the last push up, so the upward momentum has not reduced!
Be careful when shorting ... es-hourly.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-25 02:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-5-25 15:54 编辑

TF (Russell 2000) is the most bullish! NQ is the least ...
What does it tell us?
tf-hourly.png nq-hourly.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-5-25 03:03 PM | 显示全部楼层

See you Sun night!

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发表于 2012-5-25 09:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-5-25 09:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
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