4/5 - 4/6 DT

greenback

Well, stock traders are off, but futures traders can work up to 9:15am tomorrow morning ...
Since it's EURO again, let's first take a look of it ...
It's consolidating at 1.305 ... looks like it wants to retest 1.300 in the next move ...
traders are apparently waiting to see what can be done on Spain, which is far bigger than Greece ...

greenback

Now JPY, which is another risk aversion instrument, i.e. it sort of anti-correlate with ES ...
The chart shows JPY is clearly strengthening ... USD/JPY making lower highs ... the reverse is now clear ...

greenback

Now ZN ... our second risk aversion instrument ... the last breakout failed and it is fading after the first attempt.
Expecting it to push up again ... i.e. a retest of the high ...

greenback

Finally, we end with ES, which is stronger than EURO, but no much better ... looks like a diamond.
What can you do without breaking down? So far, bulls are not giving up ...
If I want to bet bearish move, I'd try JPY/6J or bond/ZN instead of out right nake shorting ES ...

silicon_beaver

Unbelievable. I almost forgot the futures. It's on tonight.

greenback

silicon_beaver 发表于 2012-4-6 00:23
Unbelievable. I almost forgot the futures. It's on tonight.

You bet!

90ufo

怎么BET?  i have long calls.  prepare to short ES at 1399-1400 to lock in gain.
if bad, ES break down 1384, then it will go to 1370 fast.

Forevergreen

90ufo 发表于 2012-4-6 08:19
怎么BET?  i have long calls.  prepare to short ES at 1399-1400 to lock in gain.
if bad, ES break do ...

it is already around 1375 region./.....

90ufo

Forevergreen 发表于 2012-4-6 08:43
it is already around 1375 region./.....

chased short ES at market once it start dropping,  ES low 1372 now, support 1370, 1365 (50day).   I feel 1365 might break, to scare out 1st batch of buy-dippers.

Forevergreen

90ufo 发表于 2012-4-6 09:12
chased short ES at market once it start dropping,  ES low 1372 now, support 1370, 1365 (50day).    ...

en.... same feeling, but maybe not today, I think the market will be closed around 10:00am

Forevergreen

Forevergreen 发表于 2012-4-6 09:15
en.... same feeling, but maybe not today, I think the market will be closed around 10:00am

done..... it is closed at 9:15.....

90ufo

greenback 发表于 2012-4-6 00:20
Finally, we end with ES, which is stronger than EURO, but no much better ... looks like a diamond.
...

Finally, we end with ES, which is stronger than EURO, but no much better ... looks like a diamond.
What can you do without breaking down? Some far, bulls are not giving up ...
If I want to bet bearish move, I'd try JPY/6J or bond/ZN instead of out right nake shorting ES ...

2012-4-6 00:14 上传下载附件 (99.97 KB)
------------------------------------------------------------老大果然厉害..  ZN 大跳.  已经130.270 了.  不过这里阻力区了,现在追晚了点吧.

greenback

90ufo 发表于 2012-4-6 08:19
怎么BET?  i have long calls.  prepare to short ES at 1399-1400 to lock in gain.
if bad, ES break do ...

Sorry, too late ... indeed, you should have bet on the short side or long 6J/ZN as I said ...

greenback

90ufo 发表于 2012-4-6 09:37
Finally, we end with ES, which is stronger than EURO, but no much better ... looks like a diamond. ...

Yes, I never chase these if I missed the breakout points ... once reached over 61.8% MM target, they intend to fade first ... so just wait for Sun night to see where they stop ...

greenback

silicon_beaver

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