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发表于 2012-3-2 10:02 AM
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my 2c.
you want to ask yourself first whether your prediction is speculative or not. For speculative prediction, if market goes as planned, follow it; if not, wait and see.
For non-speculative prediction, if market goes as planned, follow it; if not, that means your assumption is wrong, change that assumption and see whether it changes your prediction. either way, follow your new prediction.
you can break it up to smaller parts and ask whether the down part is speculative or not, and whether the up part is speculative or not. |
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