冲浪手天气报告；11-25 to 12-2

hunting

；为了不占空间，以后我把每天的日记接在一起，每个星期更新就好，，版主请把旧的撤了，各位同学周末愉快，，，

jcw

silicon_beaver

support.

开小差

COS

awc3

cat2011

NYQ

henggma

Diver

My wave counting is diferent from many of others.

I think we are now in the wave ii of the wave 5 since March 2009.

Overall sentiment in many forums are extremely pessimate. That is a very good reason for a decent rally.

abaqus

十分的辛苦！

Diver

Diver 发表于 2011-11-27 12:28
My wave counting is diferent from many of others.

I think we are now in the wave ii of the wave 5 ...

I did not have time to post charts over the weekend. My vision is the downside room below SPX 1150 is very limited. Year-end rally is coming.

Diver

Diver 发表于 2011-11-28 07:50
I did not have time to post charts over the weekend. My vision is the downside room below SPX 1150 ...

BB mouth on weekly SPY chart is shrinking!

abaqus

Diver 发表于 2011-11-28 09:50
I did not have time to post charts over the weekend. My vision is the downside room below SPX 1150 ...

老大那天有空给俺们展展，多谢！

hunting

冲浪手天气报告；IWM上涨4.76%，EWG上涨5.73%，但在我的动力系统里都和SPY一样，看起来牛牛动力还不强，，，今天TLT，UUP，VXX 都是低开高走，都还在BB上线与50天线上，，因此暂时看作反弹，，需要进一步确认，，

momotalk

nnd1

{:8_491:}

azzz

hunting

；石油看起来要下跌，哪位同学说说对大盘SPX有何影响？？

Diver

AAPL's charts look very good. 240min and daily charts are both going up, especially with red curves and blue curves side by side. And red curve and blue curve on its weekly chart are both bottomed and ready to bounce.

However, SPY charts do not look so pleasant. On 240min chart, red curve and blue curve are rallying side by side and not topped yet. Thus we will see tomorrow morning making higher high. on daily chart, both red curve and blue curve have moved out of deeply oversold zone, but the red curve has run too much faster than the blue curve, so they do not rally side by side and that is vulnable for bears attacks. So I guess there will be set back in this early stage of rebounce. On weekly chart, red curve bottomed today and ready for a bounce, that is good for bulls, however, blue curve dropped below 70-line today, that means its further pullback is unavoidable (inevitable). I guess that is likely to happen after the red curve bounce up to meet the blue curve and both of them drop side by side fiecely.   

Taking today's money flow data into consideration, I guess the pullback since SPY 129 is not over yet and the wave ii of the wave 5 since March 2009 will continue. Today is an MAD, but money flow data shows the outflow since SPY 129 continued severely today. That is a very bad sign for bulls. As per my wave counting imagination, this wave ii will be inversed N-shape, so after this rebounce, there will be another leg down to break SPX 1150, probably testing SPX 1100 or lower, depending on how high this rebounce can reach.----I guess the second leg will be the same length of the first leg from SPX 1290.
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