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老熊对人类社会进程的大小节点的把握还行,因此大小呼悠们就只能呼悠他们自己啦!

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发表于 2011-3-15 09:11 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
本帖最后由 金牛银熊 于 2011-3-15 10:13 编辑

炒股票就更是小菜一碟啦!


下面是老熊3月3日的QQH,最后一次善意提醒:大盘的一个什么顶就在附近了。


除了短期投机外,是不需要太斤斤计较的玩什么精确打击的,特别是玩芝加哥黑手党的金融产品。

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  • 2011-3-3

金牛银熊 2011-3-3 23:27

大家可能被股市弄得有点灰头土脸了吧?

实是振荡幅度加大惹的祸啦。
也就是说大点的顶就在附近或是一步之遥了。
别听所谓砸锅碗瓢盆之类的豪言壮语,资金管理永远都是第一位的。
战小日本的下场就是个活生生的例子。
武士道不能用来炒股的,老谋深算的步步为营才能立于不败之地。
稳妥可靠永远是第一位的,切记切记!!!

现在应该是逐渐出货的时机,能短线捞一把就干一票,不能也就算了。
实真正应该做的是调整组合里多空比例,如果大盘再继续泡沫化的向上就要继续加大空仓的比例。
个人认为,现在应该持三分之一左右的现金或马上能变现的流动性好的东西,长期投资的玩艺有三分之一也就比较重了。
现阶段长期投资的牛熊都不怎么挣钱,连卡窝靠或铺都卖不出好价钱了。
再看看过去十来年,如果你长期持有所谓蓝筹股的投资回报率有多少就明白了。

最后说说能源问题,别听那些不食人间烟火的识字分子的胡说八道,现在如果能源大涨价不但对经济有害,还会有更多人住不起房子了。

老熊一看就知道,在胡同里上蹿下跳的没有几个人的住房是超过3500SF的主,不当家当然不知柴米贵啦(大家想想为什么这个尺寸以上的房子是如此的重要)。

过老熊也是没吃过猪肉,但见过猪走。。。。。。


老熊

2011-03-03

发表于 2011-3-15 09:21 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2011-3-15 10:10 AM | 显示全部楼层
熊哥下次也给我发个QQH
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发表于 2011-3-15 10:41 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-3-15 11:05 AM | 显示全部楼层
熊大的QQH, 咱们啥时才能搭上车?
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发表于 2011-3-15 12:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-3-15 12:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-15 01:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
FOMC Press Release

Release Date: March 15, 2011

For immediate release
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that the economic recovery is on a firmer footing, and overall conditions in the labor market appear to be improving gradually. Household spending and business investment in equipment and software continue to expand. However, investment in nonresidential structures is still weak, and the housing sector continues to be depressed. Commodity prices have risen significantly since the summer, and concerns about global supplies of crude oil have contributed to a sharp run-up in oil prices in recent weeks. Nonetheless, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable, and measures of underlying inflation have been subdued.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. Currently, the unemployment rate remains elevated, and measures of underlying inflation continue to be somewhat low, relative to levels that the Committee judges to be consistent, over the longer run, with its dual mandate. The recent increases in the prices of energy and other commodities are currently putting upward pressure on inflation. The Committee expects these effects to be transitory, but it will pay close attention to the evolution of inflation and inflation expectations. The Committee continues to anticipate a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability.

To promote a stronger pace of economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate, the Committee decided today to continue expanding its holdings of securities as announced in November. In particular, the Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings and intends to purchase $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of the second quarter of 2011. The Committee will regularly review the pace of its securities purchases and the overall size of the asset-purchase program in light of incoming information and will adjust the program as needed to best foster maximum employment and price stability.

The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period.

The Committee will continue to monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and will employ its policy tools as necessary to support the economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Charles L. Evans; Richard W. Fisher; Narayana Kocherlakota; Charles I. Plosser; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Daniel K. Tarullo; and Janet L. Yellen.


2011 Monetary Policy Releases

Last update: March 15, 2011
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发表于 2011-3-15 03:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
"Nonetheless, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable, and measures of underlying inflation have been subdued. " 日本把钱要回去了,米国没钱花,印钞票,不会有inflation?

In economics, inflation is a rise in the general level of prices of goods and services in an economy over a period of time.[1] When the general price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services. Consequently, inflation also reflects an erosion in the purchasing power of money – a loss of real value in the internal medium of exchange and unit of account in the economy.[2][3]
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发表于 2011-3-15 08:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-3-15 10:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 bokchoy888 于 2011-3-15 23:11 编辑

how come I have not seen this piece from 2011-3-3???
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发表于 2011-3-15 10:20 PM | 显示全部楼层
  

".......稳妥可靠永远是第一位的,切记切记!!!....."
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-15 10:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
how come I have not seen this piece from 2011-3-3???
bokchoy888 发表于 2011-3-15 23:08



   
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-3-16 09:40 PM | 显示全部楼层
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