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tcm328pan 2016-1-7 10:23 PM
LaoDa, You are expert in Elliott wave principal. May I learn from you? My email    tcm328pan@yahoo.com.
Brainteaser 2008-11-27 09:21 AM
peregrine: Happy Thanksgiving to Brainteaser!!!!!
happy holiday!!!
Brainteaser 2008-11-27 09:17 AM
peregrine: Happy Thanksgiving to Brainteaser!!!!!
oh yeah!!! happy holiday!!! shopping smart  :)
peregrine 2008-11-19 01:06 PM
Stock Timing to me:
Wednesday, November 19th. - Stock Trends, Charts, and Commentary

Institutional Investors remain in Distribution.  Is there any hopefulness in their Buying and Selling activity?

It was last September that Institutions went into Distribution and they have remained in distribution since. There was a one day exception in the beginning of November ... but that lasted only one day with no follow through ... and with Institutions quickly returning to a distribution mentality.

Our daily chart of Institutional NET Buying and Selling activity is below.  You can see how the market is dependent on what they do.  It should be, because over 50% of the stock market's daily volume comes from Institutional action.

Okay ... what about it?  Is there any hopefulness coming from the Institutional Buying and Selling activity?

Actually there is.  Since the middle of October, every down move in the stock market was initiated with LESS distribution on the part of Institutions.  The down movement in the past week was initiated with appreciably less distribution on the part of Institutional investors.

That has created a progressively improving set of 2 positive divergences as seen on today's chart.  It does NOT mean that there is anything safe about going long yet, but it does mean that there is a decent possibility that the market could find a short term bottom fairly soon.

The NET distribution activity by Institutions have a pattern of higher/lows since October.  If that trend is maintained, then that will keep a positive bias building for a retracement rally in the market.  
http://www.stocktiming.com/images/2008/NOVEMBER/19%20WEDNESDAY/free%20net.png
peregrine 2008-11-18 11:21 AM
StockTime to me:
Tuesday, November 18th. - Stock Trends, Charts, and Commentary

Is the stock market close to deciding whether to give us another leg down?

Today' chart looks at "the change of balance fight" between how many stocks are shifting between being Very Strong in Strength, or Very Weak in Strength.

Today's Question: Can this "change of balance fight" chart analysis signal new down turns in the stock market?

For the answer, let's go to today's Lead/Lag Indicator chart of the "Very Strong stocks minus the number of Very Weak Stocks".

The chart below goes back to the beginning of 2008.  For a down turn signal, a support trend line must be broken like the instances at the end of February, mid May, and mid August ... see the vertical red dotted lines
(A, B, and C) for when this occurred.  As you can see below, in all 3 cases, the market retreated afterwards.

Note also, that this Lead/Lag Indicator shows a series of lower/highs that continued to generate lower/lows with more damage occurring in the stock market.  Also note how the lower/highs all failed at points 1, 2, 3, and 4 when they reached the red resistance line.

Notice that after the peak failure move at label 4, the Lead/Lag Indicator dropped like all the previous occasions.  But, also notice that the Lead/lag Indicator has continued making higher/lows and higher/highs since bottoming out ... so it has been trending up.

Do we now get another drop with a lower/low that takes the market down another leg?

The answer will come soon because the indicator ended yesterday being very close to retesting the support line.  If the support gets tested and breaks to the downside in the next few days, then that would be a condition favoring more downside action.   
http://www.stocktiming.com/images/2008/NOVEMBER/18%20TUESDAY/free.png
peregrine 2008-11-10 12:00 PM
StockTiming.com  to me
  
An Institutional index pattern breakout is nearby ...

By now, you are very familiar with the importance of Institutional buying and selling, because Institutional activity accounts for over 50% of the trading volume everyday.  There is no other group with the clout and ability to change the market's direction.

Today's chart is the action of what has happened to the price movement of the "core holdings" held by Institutions for the past 15 months.

As you will see on the chart, the value of the Institutional stock core holdings were in a down trend from October 2007 to October 2008.  It has been a very clear descending channel.

This October, things changed because Institutions went on an accelerated selling binge that made the index FALL below the support of the declining channel.   On October 10th. the index made a low on peak selling and has gone sideways since.

The sideways movement has resulted in a clear triangular pattern.

On November 27th. the triangular pattern will reach its apex and come to a closure.  At which time it will break out of its sideways movement and declare the next short term direction it will take.

But, you won't have to wait until November 27th., because most triangular patterns breakout before that.

Monday, November 10th. - Stock Trends, Charts, and Commentary

The sideways movement has resulted in a clear triangular pattern.

But, you won't have to wait until November 27th., because most triangular patterns breakout before 7/8's of the pattern distance to the apex.   So that means that means, on or before Thursday, November 20th., the Institutional index will have a very high probability of making its breakout.


http://www.stocktiming.com/images/2008/NOVEMBER/10%20Monday/free%20inst.png

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