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分享 8/28 after close
2013-8-29 03:40 AM
I was very wrong about the immediate downside move after the big down day yesterday. Short term the market is very oversold. $vix gives buy signal (close outside of BB previous day and close inside of BB today). Keep in mind that $cpce is nowhere near important bottom.
552 次阅读|0 个评论 热度 4
分享 8/27 after close
2013-8-27 11:19 PM
8/27 after close
Very strong downside momentum. Even with the less bearish scenario (wave 5 instead of C), it takes time to form a tradable low. See what happened after the strong down move on 8/15. $cpce has a lot of room to the upside, suggesting the downside risk is still very high. http://stockcharts.com/public/ ...
686 次阅读|1 个评论 热度 7
分享 8/27 update
2013-8-27 12:18 PM
Two possible scenarios from here: (1) less bearish count is current down move is wave 5, (2) more bearish count is wave B is over at 1669, wave C down just started.
602 次阅读|0 个评论 热度 4
分享 8/27 market comments
2013-8-27 05:35 AM
8/27 market comments
EW primary count is (a) of wave B or 2 finishes at 1669 (30 points). 61.8% of (a) is 1650. Market is vulnerable. If breaking the low at 1639, the bounce is wave 4. Watch for 60 min stochastics and whether spx repeats the first half of June. Intermediate signals are still all sell.
658 次阅读|2 个评论 热度 6
分享 8/24 wave 2 or B retrace
2013-8-24 08:06 PM
8/24 wave 2 or B retrace
Watch 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% fibs at 1666, 1674, and 1683. There is also a gap at 1685. Gap resistance is strong. If immediate new low next week, the bounce is wave 4. At this point, treat the bounce as wave B or 2 but keep open minded. If B takes 50% of A (13 days), then another 3-4 days for B. Inte ...
684 次阅读|2 个评论 热度 7

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