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[原创] Is UNG going to fly?

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发表于 2010-7-16 10:22 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


UNG.png


It seems that since it's droping, UNG has build a pretty sound base here. Recently it break out of the base and attempted previous support region and pullled back.

I started to load one portion today and will slowly build it if it keep falling down. The plan is to stop out if pirce broke previous low and hopefully it will hit 10.75-11 area.I was thinking to play some options today. Any HTers' suggestion to what striking price and time frame I should buy?

Thank you

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发表于 2010-7-16 10:25 PM | 显示全部楼层
ung会不会慢慢归零?
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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 楼主| 发表于 2010-7-16 10:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 2# overdrunk

Sorry, I don't know the fundamentals. Hope some HTers will answer your question.
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发表于 2010-7-17 08:42 AM | 显示全部楼层
问:UNG短期的走势如何?阻力位在哪里?
答:UNG昨天出现了多头吞噬形态,这是个短期的反弹走高的信号,短期阻力在7.89。
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2010-7-17 09:30 AM | 显示全部楼层
Be careful. Natural gas supply is quite aplenty, which is bearish on gas price.
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发表于 2010-7-17 10:19 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 1# nirvanawang

UNG每个月都有contango,长期持有得不偿失。你看看天然气价格和UNG的比较图就知道了。

我有个朋友持有了半年左右,亏掉30%+,那段时间天然气涨了30%+。
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-7-17 10:30 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 5# Xiris

That's true. But how inventory is related to UNG price. I remember last time the inventory is high but UNG still broke out. It may well depend on how the inventory number is interpreted. Just my 2c.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-7-17 10:35 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 6# mayoutu

Thanks for the heads-up? from its description:

"
United States Natural Gas Fund

The United States Natural Gas Fund, LP ("UNG") is a new way for investors and hedgers to manage their exposure to energy.

The United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) is an exchange traded security that is designed to track in percentage terms the movements of natural gas prices. UNG issues units that may be purchased and sold on the NYSE Arca."

It seems that UNG should be related to natural gas price. Is there other factors like price in for this discrepancy?
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发表于 2010-7-17 12:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
我觉得有买UNG的闲钱,不如不止损买Natural Gas.

请指教。
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2010-7-17 02:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2010-7-17 08:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 oneshot 于 2010-7-17 22:18 编辑

I am bullish on UNG too. I won't be suprised if it consolidate 1 or 2 more days with light volume
I bought some AUG 6 calls friday, almost no time value, just like buying stock.
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发表于 2010-7-18 07:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
UNG actually is very very very bullish ...
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发表于 2010-7-18 08:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
Seasonal, Nature Gas is going up since Middle of July. No idea about UNG.

NAT_GAS.GIF
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发表于 2010-7-23 05:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
I am bullish on UNG too. I won't be suprised if it consolidate 1 or 2 more days with light volume
I ...
oneshot 发表于 2010-7-17 22:13


Out even. wait and see.
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 楼主| 发表于 2010-7-23 08:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
still holding 1/3 longs, will add more as long as previous low is not violeted

回复 14# oneshot
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发表于 2010-7-23 10:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
no
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发表于 2010-7-28 09:21 AM | 显示全部楼层
回复 15# nirvanawang

start flying le.
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