02/10/2010 大盘回顾 （No Title）

Cobra

TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart) Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY     Intermediate 3 of 3 are SELL 6 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in SELL mode Short-term 1 of 1 are SELL 9 of 9 are NEUTRAL

BULLISH 6.3.2c Major Distribution Day Watch: Bottom is close? 0.0.9 Extreme Put Call Ratio Watch: Bottom is close? BEARISH 6.3.0 Major Accumulation/Distribution Days: Another Major Distribution Day ahead? 6.4.A SPY Bottom Shape: Could be another leg down to test the low. CONCLUSION

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING VEHICLE: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU ST Model 02/04 S *breakeven *Adjust stop loss. Reversal Bar       NYMO Sell       VIX MA ENV

OTHER ETFs TREND COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided. QQQQ   *Black bar, so a top is close? IWM     CHINA Down Double Top confirmed. EMERGING Down CANADA Double Top, target $15.77. FINANCIALS Down Could be a confirmed Head and Shoulders Top. REITS   Measured Move, target $41.54. MATERIALS   ENERGY Down Confirmed Double Top. OIL   Could be a Double Top in the forming. GOLD Down Descending Triangle, target $91.08. DOLLAR UP Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $24.28. BOND

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: INITIAL PULLBACK TARGET MET BUT COULD BE MORE

 

No update, see 02/05/2010 Market Recap, Fib 38.2% retracement target was met, but I suspect there’s more. There’s a chance that after the pullback is over, we’ll see a new high followed by a bigger pullback thereafter.

 

SHORT-TERM: STILL THINK THERE’S ONE MORE DOWN LEG TO TEST THE PREVIOUS LOW  

 

还是看6.4.A SPY Bottom Shape，象不象bottom？我看不象，因此还是觉得应该会test the previous low，可能只要低于Monday low就可以了。

 

 

其他没啥说的，没结论，上下都有可能，因此牛熊都不宜重仓。今天的After Bell Quick Summary提到了daily图都不好看，是要跌的形状，下面简单的看一下吧。

 

0.0.5 QQQQ Short-term Trading Signals，至少可以排除是Nov那根黑棒棒的情况了，因此可能是说，a top is very close。

 

 

0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals，连冲了三次，都没法close deal，搞了2个反转意味很重的Doji，看着不好。

 

 

3.4.1 Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE Daily)，Shooting Star and Hammer，连着2个反转棒，看着也不好。

 

 

3.4.2 Financials Select Sector SPDR (XLF Daily)，看着象是back test Complex Head and Shoulders Top neckline。  

 

 

STOCK SCREENER:  For fun only, I may not actually trade the screeners. Since SPY ST Model is in SELL mode, only SHORT candidates are listed. For back test details as well as how to confirm the entry and set stop loss please read HERE. Please make sure you understand the basic risk management HERE.

 

Today’s screener has 0 stock found.

 

bigtree71

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光住了看了。

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