Mid-Term Election Year Seasonality

jeff110

Mid-Term Election Year Seasonality: Flat Year Ahead (转贴）

The new year invariably brings a plethora of forecasts, predictions and estimates. With that in mind, here’s a preview of what’s to come through a political prism. Since the 1950’s mid-term election years have been more or less flat for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

That’s especially true of the first nine months of the average mid-term election year. As you can see from the chart below, the usual mid-year doldrums, made famous by the market maxim: “Sell in May and Go Away!” can be expanded to “It Isn’t Over, ’til October!”:

oldpigwang

1# jeff110
"It Isn’t Over, ’til October" 没看懂。
Do u mean down to October?

jeff110

1# jeff110
"It Isn’t Over, ’til October" 没看懂。
Do u mean down to October?
oldpigwang 发表于 2010-2-10 11:49

应该是这个意思吧．我理解有两层：
１．　不要以为跌到八九月份就以为跌得差不多了，十月还可能有一大跌．
２．　不要以为跌到十月了就以为没希望了，很可能从十月一路涨到年底．

当然这是一般的平均的走法，今年具体是不是这样走，就不知道了．

Jeff

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我是谁

wow, neat thx

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intral

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