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wolfdoctor

无论如何，现在买入/持有是非常安全的，哪怕有调整，还是会继续向上的，也许需要时间，但是比较有把握。
我觉得夏天到10，年底到15还是比较靠谱的。毕竟大空头还没cover，大机构还没积累，现在就看什么因素可以触发这两个巨大的向上的力量开始起作用。

I see a second leg up in the coming days. My wishful thinking is there may not be another dip unless ...
bendzhao 发表于 2010-4-28 11:23

cornuox

Let's see if it can go above 8.50 in the coming days.

Where is Intral, who opened the BCRX thread.

Still remember we were all in meow's blog in those days with nice memory.

wolfdoctor

back test support with low volume today? this time will break 200MA?

bendzhao

空头差不多三个月来每次都在200MA附近狙击，每次都成功，而且能一直打到上升趋势线。今天又是在200MA伏击牛，趁着大盘配合一击就击穿20MA。加上巨大的bearish engulfing，感觉不好可能要去趋势支撑。

wolfdoctor

Today BCRX went down so much with low volume. What can they do next? BCRX can't go very low with current fundamant.

So I think it's just for covering purpose. They can save cost by using big resistence to push down, then cover. Every previous games is low-volume-down and bigger-volume-up.

Plus, this time it is their last resistance. Above it will be big plain. They will make good use of it. That's why I alerted not to be too optimistic in short term two days ago.

But for long term, there is no factor shaking its uptrend yet.

wolfdoctor

提醒大家一声，BCRX今天出了空心红棒棒。
BCRX的空心红棒棒很少有，因为BCRX的空头非常凶悍，通常不会允许带有反转性质的事情发生，一旦发生，trend上反转的意味就很强烈。
今天的跳空低开并且收在50MA以下，我不认为有什么可怕，如果按以前的bearish的惯例，这一定是非常bloody的一天，但是今天没有，说明在这个价位，空头力量已经很薄弱了。
并不是说BCRX一定会立刻反转，也有可能在这里盘到OE周。但是我认为在这个点位，向下的风险已经非常小，而这次掉头向上，突破原先8.4的阻力可能性很大，再往上空间就比较大了。从时间上看，日本peramivir用于儿童的许可估计也快要出消息了。

jiangnanhao

thanks.

superxy

see if this channel can hold or not.

superxy

Shoot, missed again. So evil.

wolfdoctor

Shoot, missed again. So evil.
superxy 发表于 2010-5-14 12:26

you you you!!!

cornuox

Thanks for the analysis.
Let's see how it goes...

wolfdoctor

May option still lots of 7C/7P. It's good to see BCRX bouncing up today. But don't be too optimistic ...
wolfdoctor 发表于 2010-4-28 10:51

MAX PAIN today!

That's why no need to panic for BCRX. See Jun's option and BCRX fundaments and potential news queue, you will be happy for what you will be earning in the next month! In June OE,
For bear market, BCRX may go to 7.5.
For bull or pig market, BCRX may go to 10.

inosine

我不懂BCRX的FA， 但从图上看是箱形整理，是continuing pattern, 似乎下破的可能越来越大。 类似的图可以看看2000年5月到9月的yhoo。

wolfdoctor

我不懂BCRX的FA， 但从图上看是箱形整理，是continuing pattern, 似乎下破的可能越来越大。 类似的图可以看 ...
inosine 发表于 2010-5-22 23:30

Biotech被操纵得太厉害，基本上是short任何pump，而且信息极其严重不对称。光看TA你最后会被玩死的，因为有的pump对做空的散户是致命的。你必须同时看FA，最好还能研究一下庄家的动向。

superxy

7块是短期低了。7.5到了。。。

wolfdoctor

http://www.fda.gov/downloads/Dru ... iders/UCM216494.pdf
EUA被终止了，这下情况就不太好了，美国这边不太会补购。没有pandemic的威胁，日本韩国那边也不会太积极批准和储备，估计BCRX要大熊一阵子了。要是今年流感不厉害，5.x不知道能不能撑得住。可以逢高买put。