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[转贴] Closer look at 美元指数 (Nov.2008 - Oct 2009)

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发表于 2009-10-20 02:02 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


本帖最后由 stringzero 于 2009-10-20 03:03 编辑

(by Corey Rosenbloom)

图有点不清楚,将就一下,意思都在那儿了,   



This chart looks at pure (index) price using the Andrews Tool in TradeStation.

Starting with the November 2008 price highs and drawing to the March lows then to the April 2009 highs, we see the following “Pitchfork” grid for the Dollar Index.

I have added the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci numbers to the grid which seem to capture the highs (the 38.2% tine line) of the move down.

Andrews Pitchfork charts help unveil hidden structure, especially in lengthy price advances or declines.

Any move upwards above the 38.2% tine line would be bullish and help argue the case for a potential retracement/reversal up, but until then, price continues to move down in the trend between the 0% and 38.2% Andrews lines.

I cheated a little bit and added the 3/10 Oscillator into what otherwise would have been a pure focus on price alone, but it’s important at least to note the multi-swing positive momentum divergence which has been forming under price under each new index low.

The lengthy divergences adds a bullish flair to the otherwise relentless down-trend.

Again, we’ll keep our eye on any positive push up in the Dollar Index, and until then, this remains the dominant Andrews Pitchfork grid for index prices.

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