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发表于 2009-10-6 08:22 AM
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现在问题不是美国政府不想贬美元，而是能贬多少还可以保留世界储备货币的地位。
dividend_growth 发表于 2009-10-5 23:41 
ZT
石油美元快分家了?
(海湾产油国正计划终止使用美元进行石油交易)
联合早报网/有报道指，海湾产油国正在与中俄日法等国家秘密会谈，商议以一揽子货币取代美元，作为石油交易结算货币。
路透社报道说，英国《独立报》著名驻中东记者菲斯克（Robert Fisk）引述来自海湾国家以及香港中资银行的消息，作出了上述报道。报道传出后，美元应声走软。
菲斯克表示，有关方案涉及原油的交易，做法是成立一揽子的结算货币，当中包括日元、人民币、欧元、黄金以及一种海湾地区国家拟推出的联合新货币。
该种新货币将为海湾合作委员会成员国的联合货币，有关成员国包括沙特、阿布扎比、科威特、卡塔尔等。
菲斯克指，参与上述秘密会谈的，包括中国、俄罗斯、日本、巴西的财金官员，另外法国也有参与；并指美国政府也知道有这些会议的存在，但华府并未发现其具体内容。
Dollar Falls on Report Gulf States May Stop Using Greenback
Oct. 6 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar fell for a second day against the yen as the Independent newspaper said Gulf states may switch to a basket of currencies for oil trading. The yen rose after Japan’s finance minister said he told Group of Seven leaders weak-currency policies were undesirable.
The dollar declined against 14 of its 16 major counterparts as Asian stocks rallied and the Independent cited banking sources in Hong Kong as saying Gulf states along with Japan and China are discussing dropping the dollar for oil trades. The euro rose before a report forecast to show German factory orders increased for a sixth month. Australia’s dollar surged after the nation’s central bank raised benchmark interest rates.
“I do think that eventually there will be a move to non- dollar commodity contracts, and it may be the next big risk for the dollar,” said Ben Simpfendorfer, chief China economist for Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in Hong Kong. “At the same time I don’t want to overplay the importance of the story. There’s no credible sources there.”
The dollar fell to 89.11 yen at 12:38 p.m. in Tokyo from 89.53 yen in New York yesterday. The euro climbed to $1.4710 from $1.4648. The euro fetched 131.05 yen from 131.15 yen.
The dollar fell after the U.K.-based Independent reported oil-producing Arab nations are seeking to move to a basket of currencies, including the yen, the yuan, the euro and gold to settle transactions.
“A move by the Arab states to use a currency basket that consists of the yen, the euro and other instruments will definitely prove positive for those assets,” said Lee Wai Tuck, a currency strategist at Forecast Pte in Singapore. “This is likely to fuel buying of the Japanese and European currencies at the expense of the greenback.”
Rising Stocks
The Dollar Index fell for a third day as the MSCI Asia Pacific Index of regional shares gained 0.8 percent, weakening demand for safe-haven currencies. The index, which the ICE uses to track the dollar against the currencies of six major U.S. trading partners including the euro, dropped 0.3 percent to 76.478.
“Evidence suggests the global economy is recovering,” said Greg Gibbs, a Sydney-based currency strategist with Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc. “The dollar may weaken, which has been a trend of recent weeks. Certainly, strong equities enforce that trend.”
Fujii Comments
The yen gained after Japanese Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii said he told officials from the Group of Seven nations meeting in Istanbul last weekend that governments shouldn’t pursue policies that seek to devalue their currencies.
Fujii, who spoke at a news conference in Tokyo today, said earlier last month he didn’t support a weak currency, and said in Istanbul that Japan would “take action” if currencies show excessive moves. The yen has gained 14 percent against the dollar in the past year, hurting earnings for export-dependent Japanese companies.
The euro gained against 13 of its 16 major counterparts as the Economy Ministry in Berlin is forecast to report Germany’s factory orders advanced 1.1 percent in August following a 3.5 increase in July, according to the median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg News survey. The data is due tomorrow.
Australia’s Dollar
“Solid economic data in Germany are good for the euro- zone’s economy, boosting demand for the euro,” said Toshiya Yamauchi, a Tokyo-based manager of the foreign-exchange margin trading department at Ueda Harlow Ltd. “Rising stocks are also encouraging risk taking, and the yen and dollar are under pressure.”
The Australian dollar jumped 0.5 percent to 88.22 U.S. cents after the Reserve Bank of Australia unexpectedly raised its benchmark interest rate from a 49-year low by a quarter percentage point amid signs the nation’s economy is strengthening.
Reserve Bank Governor Glenn Stevens increased the overnight cash rate target to 3.25 percent from 3 percent in Sydney today. Only one of 20 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News forecast today’s decision. The rest predicted no change.
Australia is the first Group of 20 nation to raise borrowing costs since the start of the global financial crisis more than a year ago.
To contact the reporters on this story: Yoshiaki Nohara in Tokyo at ynohara1@bloomberg.net; Ron Harui in Singapore at rharui@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: October 5, 2009 23:44 EDT |
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发表于 2009-10-5 10:17 PM
