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[转贴] 转一个喊顶的

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发表于 2009-8-26 10:11 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


这年头喊顶的都是被嘲笑的对象. 不过这位当初喊底喊的很成功. 那他现在又喊顶了,你信吗???

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发表于 2009-8-26 10:28 AM | 显示全部楼层
re
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发表于 2009-8-26 10:28 AM | 显示全部楼层
呵呵,喊顶比喊底难一百倍。
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发表于 2009-8-26 10:39 AM | 显示全部楼层
好文,多谢老大

偶信,但是心动也不敢随便行动
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发表于 2009-8-26 10:58 AM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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发表于 2009-8-26 11:14 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-8-26 11:14 AM | 显示全部楼层
re
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发表于 2009-8-26 11:33 AM | 显示全部楼层
15
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发表于 2009-8-26 11:34 AM | 显示全部楼层
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Noname 发表于 2009-8-26 12:33 PM


这位同学,灌水请去龙门。

这里:
http://www.hutong9.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=78
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发表于 2009-8-26 11:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
Nice article. It's good to know how he think about the problem. Do you have any information on where to get the housing affordability data for free? How he get"35-to-1 leverage at almost every level in both private and public sectors"? Is that a free data? Thanks.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-8-26 11:52 AM | 显示全部楼层
Nice article. It's good to know how he think about the problem. Do you have any information on where to get the housing affordability data for free? How he get"35-to-1 leverage at almost every level i ...
小亥 发表于 2009-8-26 12:46


Sorry, I have no idea where to get the data that he mentioned
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发表于 2009-8-26 11:56 AM | 显示全部楼层
I got more and more bearish now.
Look at Japan, from 37000 to 7000, even now is only 10000.

I truly believe DOW 5000 in some day.
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发表于 2009-8-26 12:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
1# ByStander


ding ding ding
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发表于 2009-8-26 12:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-8-26 12:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
1# ByStander


rere
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发表于 2009-8-26 12:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks
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发表于 2009-8-26 01:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
Nice article. It's good to know how he think about the problem. Do you have any information on where to get the housing affordability data for free? How he get"35-to-1 leverage at almost every level i ...
小亥 发表于 2009-8-26 12:46

I believe this refers to the bank's liabilities/equity ratio (or assets/capital ratio), which is around 30-35:1 in the most banks. Furthermore, the two big semi-government agencies: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (FNM & FRE) has the leverage ratio as high as 55:1. I do not have the data at hand, but you can find easily from Fed.'s website.
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发表于 2009-8-26 01:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
1# ByStander

Who is Kass? what is his full name?
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发表于 2009-8-26 01:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
1# ByStander
好。就跟盼望抄底一样,我现在就盼着抄顶呢。明天如果再涨,就开始建空仓。
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-8-26 01:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
1# ByStander

Who is Kass? what is his full name?
JANETTAO 发表于 2009-8-26 14:07


Doug Kass
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