Summary:
No conclusion, small body bar formed today could mean a continuation or reversal.
Could be a Head and Shoulders Bottom formed on the TLT daily chart.
Zweig Breadth Thrust is overbought.
0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals,今天的small body bar可能意味着continuation也可能是reversal,需要看明天。7.2.0 Small Body Bar Trading Rule,有更多的关于small body bar的讨论,供参考。
0.0.3 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals,拉远点看,SPX依然受压于Bearish Rising Wedge的resistance,negative divergences非常多,不过MACD and NYSI都是买信号了,因此今天俺upgrade intermediate-term to buy from sell。
7.0.A Major Accumulation Day Watch,这两天讨论的,如果没有down 2 days in a row的话,根据过去的pattern,很大可能uptrend continues。当然,跟过去绿色虚线的情况比,俺们这次Major Accumulation Day后的follow-throug相对较弱。见蓝色圈圈,过去有一例跟现在类似。
Bottom line,俺没有证据证明大盘top了,短期方向要看明天。
另外有两个图,供参考:
3.0.3 20 Year Treasury Bond Fund iShares (TLT Daily),这个看一下,可能是个Head and Shoulders Bottom。
T2103 Zweig Breadth Thrust,overbought。
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